PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3
Hero (BTN): $2.08 (104 bb)
SB: $2.10 (105 bb)
BB: $1.00 (50 bb)
UTG: $2.23 (111.5 bb)
MP: $2.26 (113 bb)
CO: $2.89 (144.5 bb)
SB posts $0.01, BB posts $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 7
A
2 folds, CO raises to $0.06, Hero raises to $0.19, 2 folds, CO raises to $0.32, Hero calls $0.13
Flop: ($0.67, 2 players) 8
J 2
CO bets $0.50, Hero raises to $1.76 and is all-in, ...
CO is unknown. SB and BB are kind of tight. A7s seems OK to resteal here from time to time. CO min3bets. Great odds, IP, suited ace. Easy call.
Flop is somewhat tough. If CO only bets nuts (JJ+) here. I still look somewhat OK with 40%.
Board: 8♦J♥2♥
Equity Win Tie
MP2 40.10% 40.10% 0.00% { Ah7h }
MP3 59.90% 59.90% 0.00% { JJ+ }
Problem is, that if he never bluffs in this spot I need around 44% (my $1.76 vs max potsize of around $4 after rake). So I need him to bet/fold here only a small amount of times. Maybe with AK or TT.
Want do you think? Is that a reasonable assumption?
