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(FR) 99 - marginal overpair IP

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

$0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players

SB: 99 BB (VPIP: 20.47, PFR: 16.63, 3Bet Preflop: 8.80, Hands: 1,034)
BB: 100.4 BB (VPIP: 59.18, PFR: 13.85, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 197)
UTG: 91.2 BB (VPIP: 40.43, PFR: 4.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
UTG+1: 105.6 BB (VPIP: 70.59, PFR: 41.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
MP: 117.6 BB (VPIP: 9.15, PFR: 7.15, 3Bet Preflop: 3.47, Hands: 3,937)
MP+1: 87.6 BB (VPIP: 21.84, PFR: 12.10, 3Bet Preflop: 1.22, Hands: 733)
CO: 121.8 BB (VPIP: 9.04, PFR: 3.92, 3Bet Preflop: 1.60, Hands: 333)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9♦ 9♣
fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, MP raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 4 BB, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 3 BB
Thoughts: called more for set value. Specially against UTG+1.

Flop: (13.4 BB, 3 players) 4♠ 7♥ 5♥
UTG+1 checks, MP checks, Hero bets 7.6 BB, UTG+1 calls 7.6 BB, fold
Thoughts:

Spoiler

missed my set, but I have a marginal overpair reasonable connected with the board.
Should I bet bigger here? Because suited overcards have a good equity against my hand and the board is too coordinated...

Turn: (28.6 BB, 2 players) 6♠
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 15.2 BB, UTG+1 calls 15.2 BB
Thoughts:

Spoiler

at this point, cbet/fold OTT or check behind OTT and maybe call a small bet for a blank OTR.
But what would be a blank OTR? Any overcard would be scaring. Any small card could complete the str8 and any spade or heart, a flush.

River: (59 BB, 2 players) J♣
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

UTG+1 shows K♠ 8♦ (Straight, Eight High)
(Pre 28%, Flop 27%, Turn 93%)
Hero mucks 9♦ 9♣ (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 72%, Flop 73%, Turn 7%)
UTG+1 wins 55.6 BB


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2 replies
Tonyx86
Joined: 28.03.2018

Imo well played. Maybe a bit bigger OTF and smaller OTT. River is insta check behind. We have some sd value.


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Netgames999
Joined: 12.11.2006

Flop bigger. Players like MP never x/r in this spot and you want max value from UTG. UTG can have a tonne of pairs and draws that would invest to much.


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