Long story short: Is it possible to avoid losing the entire stack in this hand? I raise 3BB, get 3-betted and decide to go for a heavy 4-bet which will be answered by an all-in. I cleary have AA in mind, but it could also be QQ, maybe JJ?
KK vs. AA,QQ is 50% equity
KK vs. AA,QQ,JJ is 60% equity
KK vs. AA is 18% equity
So the question is can I give him only AA in this hand? 15/12/3 with 709 hands.
888 Poker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 141.5 BB (VPIP: 15.46, PFR: 12.52, 3Bet Preflop: 3.17, Hands: 709)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.06, PFR: 12.32, 3Bet Preflop: 3.80, Hands: 215)
Hero (UTG+1): 100 BB
MP: 44 BB (VPIP: 6.82, PFR: 2.27, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 45)
MP+1: 131 BB (VPIP: 18.25, PFR: 16.06, 3Bet Preflop: 4.65, Hands: 138)
CO: 35 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 91)
BTN: 55 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 31)
SB: 136 BB (VPIP: 25.69, PFR: 11.01, 3Bet Preflop: 2.50, Hands: 109)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♦ K♣
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 13 BB, Hero raises to 30 BB, fold, BB raises to 141.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 70 BB and is all-in
Flop: (203.5 BB, 2 players) T♣ 3♥ 2♣
Turn: (203.5 BB, 2 players) Q♥
River: (203.5 BB, 2 players) 3♣
Spoiler
BB shows A♣ A♦ (Two Pair, Aces and Threes)
(Pre 83%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows K♦ K♣ (Two Pair, Kings and Threes)
(Pre 17%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
BB wins 191 BB