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Good spot to overbet river?

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samni
Joined: 06.08.2009

As we discussed overbets in another topic, I tried one in this hand.

Preflop is standard, playing low pocket pair for setvalue. We hit our set and villain cbets. I think a raise is mandatory as he can have loads of draws and we want to get money into the pot. Sizing okay?
Turnbet could've been slightly bigger but I think it's okay.
On the river I assume he's going to fold any draw he has no matter what I bet. He could have 9T but basically thats the only hand he can have that has me beat. I think he'll have a hard time folding a T since every draw bricks so I guess I can shove here because the hands that will call me will call any bet? Or should we bet smaller in order to make sure we get value?

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $6.92 (138.4 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $7.15 (143 bb)
Hero (MP): $8.98 (179.6 bb)
CO: $9.14 (182.8 bb)
BTN: $6.03 (120.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 4♦: 4♥:
UTG raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.37) T♠: 9♠: 4♣: (2 players)
UTG bets $0.23, Hero raises to $0.64, UTG calls $0.41

Turn: ($1.65) T♣: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1, UTG calls $1

River: ($3.65) 3♦: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6, UTG calls $5.36 and is all-in


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10 replies
zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

He looks like 99+ until the river imo. Ten OTT is a great card.
I dont think overpairs are calling this OTR.
T9 obviously calls, AT maybe.
That said, I think the overbet here doesn't fit well. It just makes you look extremely strong after 2 barrels and scares villain.


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samni
Joined: 06.08.2009

Are they calling anything with an overpair besides redicilously small bets?


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

Originally posted by samni
Are they calling anything with an overpair besides redicilously small bets?

An overpair may call 1/2 here imo.
Anyway against stations shove is fine, but he doesnt look like one.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

I like your line. I dont like your flop and turn sizes.
Bigger raise on the flop with all your raising range. You want to get more money in when ahead and put alot of pressure with your draws against his 1 pair hands.
Turn pair means your value part of your range is now almost unbeatable, so you dont want to bet really big. You want to give him good odds when hes drawing dead, while giving yourself a good price for your equity bluffs. So half pot would do.
River is a classic overbet spot. Tx wont raise your bet, but will call a shove. Missed draws will never call. Overpairs will have a tough decision and should lean towards folding, so you can have most if not all of your bluffs because they are not that many. I think you chose correctly. :f_thumbsup:


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

Yeah good line but bet bigger on the flop (but not so much on the turn).
nsavov is clearly knowing what he's talking about for someone losing at NL2 :coolface:


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009
samni
Joined: 06.08.2009

Will try to make it but in case I don't, any chance it will be recorded for VOD?


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Coach
LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009
MLima1984
Joined: 19.05.2015

I probably wouldnt have overbet OTR, so the feedback on your hand was great to me.


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ImABadReg
Joined: 27.11.2018

Great spot to overbet
Try mixing in enough bluffs like missed draws

The bigger you bet, the more bluffs you should have on the river


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