So... here is the hand: https://www.boomplayer.com/29430875_E6A4B93773
I just called because against a UTG open raise and with position I feel confortable with just call. And in zoom people tend to make a lot of SQZ.
Ok so here is what I thought when I analized the hand off the table.
Villian could never have a bluff playing like this. I know this because in this levels noone 3 barrells this kind of boards with air.
I'm sure he is value betting. Now, What he could possibly be value betting with this line?
In his range of OPR preflop some people feel confortable open all kind of suited Aces and some open 22 also. So... Hands he could possible have playing this way: pocket douces (1 combo), A6s (2 combos), pockect sixes (3 combos), A5 of spades (1 combo), AK (6 combos) and maybe he could be betting AQ (8 combos) because as I didn't 3bet preflop he is never putting me in AK?.
That being said, there is 7 combos out of a total of 21 that win me, that means I'm 2:1 favorite of AT LEAST TIE THE HAND. And with his river bet he is giving me 2,5:1 pot odds. So, what you think? Should I be folding here if I have a read that the player is very nit and he is not value betting AQ in this spot?
"Si debis pedere, pedis superbe. (If you must fart, fart proudly)" VorpalF2F