Hi guys,
Do you think this is fishy or profitable?
After the c-bet on flop, I put the guy on: Ad5+, QJo+, QTs+, 33, 44, 99+, 5d6d+ Kd9+, JT. I call as I am in position and can probably win more often than not. (I am also curious what you think is c-betting here. Any thoughts?)
I don't think that the JT continues betting on turn. Against that range the pot odds are still in my favor so I believe the call is profitable.
River: the size just seems really weird to me. Why would he bet this and not smaller or bigger with completed flush? Even if I ignore the sizing and assume that he is only betting with made hands, something like Ad5+, QTo+, QTs+,Kd9+ (Qx betting as bluff) I have some 28% equity, which makes it just slightly unprofitable.
Do you think the "read" about no flush on the river is correct? Would you play the hand differently?
PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 5 players
UTG: $4.38 (88 bb)
CO (Hero): $5.35 (107 bb)
BU: $6.16 (123 bb)
SB: $5.00 (100 bb)
BB: $6.34 (127 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with 7♦ 7♠
UTG raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, 2 players fold
Flop: ($0.52) 3♦ 4♦ Q♦ (3 players)
UTG bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, BU folds
Turn: ($1.12) 9♠ (2 players)
UTG bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60
River: ($2.32) 8♦ (2 players)
UTG bets $1.05, Hero calls $1.05
Total pot: $4.42 (Rake: $0.18)
Spoiler
Showdown:
UTG shows Q♣ K♣ (a pair of Queens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 49%, Flop: 56%, Turn: 75%, River: 0%)
CO (Hero) shows 7♦ 7♠ (a flush, Queen high)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 51%, Flop: 44%, Turn: 25%, River: 100%)
CO (Hero) wins $4.24