Winamax - 30/60 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 41.6 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
UTG: 98.28 BB (VPIP: 7.55, PFR: 3.77, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 55)
CO: 48.1 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 16.28, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)
BTN: 49.77 BB (VPIP: 31.43, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)
Hero (SB): 51.27 BB
5 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.17 BB) Hero has A♥ K♦
fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 6.47 BB, fold, BTN calls 4.47 BB
Flop: (14.6 BB, 2 players) A♠ T♦ J♥
Hero bets 9.48 BB, BTN calls 9.48 BB
Turn: (33.57 BB, 2 players) J♠
Hero bets 35.18 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 33.68 BB and is all-in
Spoiler
River: (100.93 BB, 2 players) 7♠
BTN shows K♣ Q♦ (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 25%, Flop 91%, Turn 88%)
Hero shows A♥ K♦ (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 75%, Flop 9%, Turn 13%)
BTN wins 100.93 BB
Hero wins 1.5 BB
I was wondering what can opponent have here. How good can I be in that spot? So those are ranges, that I give to opponent:
PF r/c range: TT-22,AJs-A2s,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,AJo-A8o,KTo+,QTo+,JTo,T9o,98o = 247 combos
FLOP A♠:T♦:J♥:
Flop is good for my hand and for my range. Also it is not so bad for opponent range eather, so I go and c-bet big (2/3 of the pot) to make him pay if he wana call with draws.
Opponent decide to call, so I put him on that range: 99-88,A9s-A2s,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,8d7d,8h7h,8s7s,A9o-A8o,KTo+,QTo+,T9o,98o = 130 combos and my equity is 75,85%
I assume, that on that flop, he will raise 2 pairs and sets and his 1 per is not super strong even with Ax, so I assume that he will call with that as well.
TURN J♠:
Opponent left with pot stack behind, so I just shove, because I expect him to call me with draws and worse pairs.
Opponent’s calling range when I shove: A9s-A2s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,KsTs,QsTs,Ks9s,Ts9s,9s8s,8s7s,A9o-A8o,KJo+,QJo = 61 combos and against that I have 55,5% equity
For profitable shove, I need at least 34% equity. Problem is that I am not even near that if opponent don’t have Ax hands in his range. If he have A9, I have a call.
Are my predictions right or will be opponent more tight. Is my shove good or bad? What will u do in this spot?
Gl at tables!
