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AQ Bad Fold on the Turn. Some Questions

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Ferry3000
Joined: 16.08.2018

Hi everyone,

I’ve been registered here for a while now, but actually got around to playing online quite recently, so this is the first Hand I’m posting here. Sorry if this is too long. Anyway, here it goes:

Villain is 69/0 Preflop over 48 Hands at his point in the game.

I’ve tried to analyze the hand for myself after my session and have come to the conclusion, that the fold on the turn was a mistake.

While analyzing my hands after the session, I also saw that Villain folded to Cbet on the Flop only 36% of the Time. Should I just have checked the flop?

Villain also called 100% of c-bets on the Turn. So I guess second barreling wouldn’t have been an option. He bet 40% of his hands on the Turn. Could I have check-raised as a semi-bluff?

I played around with the equity calculator while analyzing the hand, and assuming that Villain folded his hands which hit absolutely nothing on the flop (i.e. anything that isn’t at least a gutshot), while keeping his high Overcards and mid pocket pairs most of the time and raising his sets, 2 pair and high Overpairs some of the time, I have about 30% equity against his range on the turn.
Villain gives me Odds of 6:1 so the fold is a clear mistake against his range. I also have great implied odds if a Jack hits on the river.

However, another question that interests me, is how I should have played the river if I would have hit an A or Q as there are quite a few combinations that have me beat in Villains Range. Do I just play check/fold in these situations?

PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): 100 BB
MP+1: 136.5 BB
MP+2: 44 BB
CO: 98.5 BB
BTN: 88 BB
SB: 29.5 BB
BB: 162 BB
UTG: 109 BB
UTG+1: 82 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ Q♥

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, MP+1 calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) T♠ 9♦ 4♥
Hero bets 5 BB, MP+1 calls 5 BB

Turn: (17.5 BB, 2 players) K♦
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 3.5 BB, fold

MP+1 wins 17 BB


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Calling the turn for those odds would be my line here. Check/raising as bluff on NL2 isn't to smart.
Especially with in mind a random player doesn't like to fold.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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