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AA overpair vs check-raise on a paired flush draw board

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shooshte
Joined: 23.08.2018

PartyGaming - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 225 BB
SB: 153 BB
BB: 85.4 BB
UTG: 136.4 BB
Hero (MP): 117.6 BB
CO: 172.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ A♦

UTG raises to 2.4 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 6.6 BB

Flop: (19.4 BB, 2 players) 3♦ 9♦ 9♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 9.2 BB, UTG raises to 33.6 BB, Hero raises to 108.6 BB, UTG calls 75 BB

Turn: (236.6 BB, 2 players) 7♥

River: (236.6 BB, 2 players) K♥

Spoiler

UTG mucks 8♥ 8♦ (Two Pair, Nines and Eights)
(Pre 19%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
Hero shows A♥ A♦ (Two Pair, Aces and Nines)
(Pre 81%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
Hero wins 224.8 BB

Got no notes on the villain. I figure 9x and 33 should not be in his UTG open range that he flats 3-bets with so I decided to shove instead of folding. I don't think calling is good here. What range do you put the villain on? I was thinking KK-JJ since we are blocking AxS.


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charliesheen
Joined: 16.08.2007

I like your play. I would put villians range on something like mentioned below - against which you are highly favored.

Board: 3♦9♦9♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    16.72%  15.02%   1.70% { 99+, A9s, KdQd }
MP3    83.28%  81.57%   1.70% { AdAh }


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It's less likely he has a big pair like QQ+. He would most likely 4bet with that pre-flop.
This time he's over playing 88 what makes no sense at all, but worked well for you :f_thumbsup:

Cheers,
SDK1987


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