PLO5 – 3b SBvBTN QTT9ss – CBeting J92mono with no color o…

Kriegphilosopher

Joined: 02.03.2012

Posts: 112

11.05.2020, 11:28 0

PokerStars - $0.05 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 61.6 BB
Hero (SB): 114.2 BB
BB: 462.4 BB
UTG: 215.2 BB
MP: 92.6 BB
CO: 96.4 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9♥ T♦ Q♦ T♠

fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB

Flop: (9 BB, 2 players) 9♣ 3♣ J♣
Hero bets 5.2 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 8.6 BB

Here is my logic: more often than not, villain doesn´t have 2p+, I risk so little I need to be succesfull in 27% cases.

Is it correct or would you just give up?

We might take into account villain raising me with some blockers, but meeh, it´s plo5

Reply

Quote

4 replies

efkay

Joined: 25.03.2005

Posts: 4,270

11.05.2020, 14:39 0

I assume a limping BU is fishy. I assume they continue a large portion of their range especially vs bets up to half pot. thats any flush, any pair 9s or better any wrap/oesd. so villain continues 72% of his hands here.

If he only calls J+ from the made hands he continues 65%. when you bet half pot you need 33% foldeequity to make the bet profitable. if you bet 1/3rd you will need ~25% and you autoprofit in all cases.

Lastly I had a look how much more villain plays if we consider him continuing the NFB: this seems to affect villains continuing range by 2% for a total of 67%. (I used $FI50:cc,J+,QT8+,T8+,Ac)

broke blog

Reply

Quote

Kriegphilosopher

Joined: 02.03.2012

Posts: 112

11.05.2020, 19:00 0

Bro:roto2:, where did you get these percentages? How can you assign his preflop range to tell how many times he got this or that...

What is NFB or $FI50? I completely missunderstood last paragraph...

Reply

Quote

efkay