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Sick matematic spot with nut FDS and OESD

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KapitanKirk
Joined: 07.03.2012

Hello, oponent is rekreational player... Turn is sick i had check and realization equity :f_cry: As played, i must ship this hand, right?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $11.32 (113.2 bb)
BB: $6.98 (69.8 bb)
Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
MP: $10.84 (108.4 bb)
CO: $10.52 (105.2 bb)
BTN: $10.27 (102.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A♥: T♥:
Hero raises to $0.35, 4 folds, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($0.75) 8♥: J♦: 3♦: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.54, BB calls $0.54

Turn: ($1.83) 9♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.31, BB raises to $3.50, Hero??? We have worst 30% :f_rolleyes:


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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by KapitanKirk
As played, i must ship this hand, right?

I would not say that you must call here, and I didn't calculate your odds or equity, but it would sure be a hard hand to fold.

I'm curious to see what others think

Best of luck :gl:,
VS


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

probably call and fold river if you miss. why ship? you think you have fold equity?


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sinkoat
Joined: 12.11.2010

Greetings!

I will talk about something else, if you don't mind.

Pre is standard.
Flop: Honestly, I don't like your cbet here, because we know that he is a fish, and he will call with anything. And because he is a short stack, you gonna get into tricky situations like this.

Turn: This would be a pretty much easy bet. If he reraises here(like 3 times of your bet), you can call. If he shove against your reraise, you must fold(you need about 43,6% equity and you have 29%).

River: If you improve to at least a straight, you can bet/call.

Let's see your line.
Let's put him on two pairs and straights and sets. According to my calculations you have 29% equity, and you need to call 2,19 into 8,83, which is about 24,8%. So call is fine, I guess.

Sorry for too many fixing, it seems that I should go sleep, because every single time I check my text, I find some fault in it. :)


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pisiattu
Joined: 01.04.2010

With combo draw I like bet, however in board oppo hits many two pair and straight

Here you can check back, as played you must add 2 for 9, easy call for improve


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KapitanKirk
Joined: 07.03.2012

Originally posted by Tomaloc
probably call and fold river if you miss. why ship? you think you have fold equity?

Because i call on R i am pot commited.... :f_mad: But you are right.... call is better and fold on missed river :f_ugly::f_cry: Thanks forr all.


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