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NL16 AJ 3bet pot - top two pair vs river overbet AI

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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

Hi all

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash

SB: $19.23 (120.2 bb)
BB: $15.36 (96 bb)
UTG3: $16.33 (102.1 bb)
MP1: $30.36 (189.8 bb)
MP2: $14.55 (90.9 bb) - regular, 126k hands, fold MP to 3bet is 50, WTSD 26, WonSD 52, WWSF 45,
turn donk bet 35, river donk bet 30, river AFq 35, river bet 40

MP3: $19.64 (122.8 bb)
CO: $27.14 (169.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $16 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J♠: A♠:
2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.28, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.88

Flop: ($2.80) 7♠: 9♣: A♣: (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.88, MP2 calls $0.88

Turn: ($4.56) J♥: (2 players)
MP2 bets $1.74, Hero calls $1.74

I had no info about turn donk in the playing time.

River: ($8.04) 2♠: (2 players)
MP2 bets $10.65 and is all-in :pcuser: Hero?

Results:

Spoiler

$29.34 pot ($1.32 rake)
Final Board: 7♠: 9♣: A♣: J♥: 2♠:
MP2 showed 8♦: T♦: and won $28.02 ($13.47 net)
Hero showed J♠: A♠: and lost (-$14.55 net)


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Preflop: I prefer to play hyper-polarized preflop (3betting strategy) at lower limits. 3betting AJs is good vs fish who call too wide, or against aggro regs who 4bet aggressively and with small sizing (which allows you to flat 4bets in position). Other than that, it would usually be a waste to 3bet this hand, especially if there are weaker players in the blinds. With that said, not really a mistake.

Rest of the hand plays itself. Turn probably can consider raising, but he seems to be repping something that improves on the Turn (T8s, AJ, JJ, J9s) so raising here against this range doesn't seem to be too wise when you are behind.

No way I'm ever folding this when there are no flushes and no 4-straights


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LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

Flop imo the sizing is kinda weak, we're missing value against a lot of hands the board is drawy and we're gonna have a tough spot on many turn against check/raises when we 2barrel and let the vilains hit their floats equity on our check/backs ( smaller sizings = more floats ). Turn we'll see T8s at a very low frequencie after calling a 3b oop from those positions and we block JJ, looks like a block bet to me not sure if it's the thing to do but would say i'm raising small here with top range and bluffs, like 2.5x. As played, river snap call i don't see how we could find an hero fold

Edit; can add that our 1/3 sizing flop induce a wilder calling range so a wilder bluffing range turn, no way we can find a fold. I seen the result and there's clearly a bunch of notes to take there


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Laci24
Joined: 07.10.2009

I thank you the comments. These are very helpful to me :)
Yeah, I see now that against 2,5x, it can be better call than 3bet.
Flop sizing looks like not optimal...

mbml: It is big honor to see your analysis in my thread. You are a legend in the community.
Very nice to see that you are writing more hand analysis in the micro section to help our micro grinders. :)


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