Villain 3 bets aggressive, with a 3B stat of 11%. In this situation SB vs BB I expect him to 3B maybe even wider.
I use K8s in these situations more often to 4B bluff in these spots. But will fold against a jam.
I miss flop completely so plan is to X/F.
I expect him to bet overpairs, 9x, part of his overcards, as well as part of his lower pocket pairs for protection.
On turn I get an open OESD and I decide to make a delayed c-bet because of the increasing equity. He showed weakness on the flop and maybe will fold quit some overcards. He will call with some of his overcards, 78, 76, 65 and backdoor flushdraws.
I expect him to raise any left 9x in case he didn't bet on the flop or 77, 66.
On the J river, most overcards that will call a 4 bet (AK, AQ) miss, Flush draw misses and an 78,76,65 has a hard time to call against another bet.
Would it be a good idea to jam this river because villain has very few hands in his range that will call? maybe some JXs with some spades.
** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ** (IPoker)
€10.00 EUR NL Texas Hold'em - Sunday, January 17, 08:40:16 ET 2021
Table Brugherio (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Seat 5: Player5 ( €31.84 EUR ) - VPIP: 25, PFR: 19, 3B: 11, AF: 1,7, Hands: 1140
Seat 6: Player6 ( €4.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 4
Seat 8: Hero ( €10.00 EUR ) - VPIP: 24, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 2,4, Hands: 29684
Hero posts small blind [€0.05 EUR].
Player5 posts big blind [€0.10 EUR].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Kd 8d ]
Player6 folds
Hero raises [€0.25 EUR]
Player5 raises [€0.70 EUR]
Hero raises [€1.90 EUR]
Player5 calls [€1.40 EUR]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 9s, 9c, 6h ]
Hero checks
Player5 checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ 7s ]
Hero bets [€1.40 EUR]
Player5 calls [€1.40 EUR]
** Dealing River ** [ Jh ]
Hero ????