Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Weird hero fold spot turn

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
148 Views
LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

Not sure at all about this one... Weird spot. Vilain nit 11/6, 3b 1%, fold to 3b 88%, 4b 0%, AF turn 0.6 (he almost never bet in any situation turn). On 530h.

Pacific Poker - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 113.7 BB
SB: 65 BB
BB: 122.4 BB
UTG: 39 BB
CO: 130.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♥ T♣

fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 7 BB

Flop: (21.5 BB, 2 players) 9♦ J♠ T♦
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣
CO checks, Hero bets 10.9 BB, CO raises to 120.1 BB and is all-in, 92.8bb stack eff.

We need 41% equity there, it's like 99.9% sure he's on Kx, thing is that he got all the AK too and we got no blocker Kd so less equity cause he got the KdQd KdJd. Just played it i'm gonna equilab it later, i did fold it but really cringed


Reply
Quote
2 replies
Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by LeRoux90
We need 41% equity there, it's like 99.9% sure he's on Kx, thing is that he got all the AK too and we got no blocker Kd so less equity cause he got the KdQd KdJd. Just played it i'm gonna equilab it later, i did fold it but really cringed

I can't argue with the fold since you're missing the A.
The problem is that he might be "protecting" his set or even two pair.
I'm curious to see what Equilab says.

I just checked though, and KTo isn't in my standard 3Bet range for BTN vs CO open.
It is just below my calling range though, and therefore would be a 3Bet/Fold.

Is that your idea pre-flop?

All the best,
VS


Reply
Quote
LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

Is that your idea pre-flop?

Yeah, it's an exploit 3b cause he overfold to it, if we cold call we're dominated by his range here against a him. Cold cold there is EV- imo

I'm curious to see what Equilab says

That's why the spot is so weird, i equilab it and actually i'm just finding easy folds

Even if we're giving him a very very optimist range like: AKs, AKo, KQs, KQo, KJs, and add a few randoms combos like JJ, TT, AdQd, AdJd as bluffs, we still find a fold at 35% equity

If we're giving a nit range like i think he actually have like: AKs, AKo, KK, KQs, KQo, KJs, ( or AK + Kx only ), we got 25-30% equity

Weird spot


Reply
Quote