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No Way we ever fold river right?

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rap1dw1n3r
Joined: 06.02.2009

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (BTN): 426 BB
SB: 163 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 109 BB
MP: 114 BB
CO: 127 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Jd Ts
fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 3 BB

Flop : (9.5 BB, 2 players) Th Jh 3d
CO checks, Hero bets 7 BB, CO calls 7 BB

Turn : (23.5 BB, 2 players) Ad
CO checks, Hero bets 17.5 BB, CO calls 17.5 BB

River : (58.5 BB, 2 players) Tc
CO bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 45 BB, CO raises to 98.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 53.5 BB

We never fold here right? Clearly he played an induce bet but we still beat straights, AJ etc.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

With the river raise sizing your committed and on a paired board like this it's tough to be beat with a full house. JJ and AA are the only hands you lose against and I would expect villain wouldn't limp JJ. AA seems more likely, but that isn't a standard play ether.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I would prefer smaller bet on turn. River we are mainly losing to AT I would say but at same time we only need to be good like 20% of time. Likely never bluff from villain but he can probably overplay some 33, JT or maybe KQ. So yeah we are not folding river with those odds.


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FriskyArt
Joined: 27.10.2009

I think folding this is -EV maybe if we both are really deep


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rap1dw1n3r
Joined: 06.02.2009

Originally posted by ghaleon
I would prefer smaller bet on turn. River we are mainly losing to AT I would say but at same time we only need to be good like 20% of time. Likely never bluff from villain but he can probably overplay some 33, JT or maybe KQ. So yeah we are not folding river with those odds.

Why smaller? I think since its 2nl people overcall a lot so getting more value is aleays better, its never going to scare off Ax or some random hands he called with on flop i think


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well if they are calling enough weaker its fine.


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