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ZOOM QQ vs a wet board flop raise

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KoningAlbert
Joined: 09.06.2009

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $2.05 (103 bb)
MP: $4.91 (246 bb)
CO: $3.21 (161 bb)
BU: $4.39 (220 bb)
SB: $3.89 (195 bb)
BB (Hero): $7.46 (373 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.05, 4 players fold, Hero 3-bets to $0.20, UTG calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.41) J 7 T (2 players)
Hero bets $0.22, UTG raises to $1.06, BB (Hero) folds

Villain is basically moving all-in with his hand.
What do you do in this position.

In my head, chances of him having AJ compared to good combo draws or made hands are very slim. So I didn't want to gamble. On the other hand, Pokerstars allows you to be paid out by odds, so maybe I should have just gone for it.... What are your thoughts?


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7 replies
yangmartins
Joined: 28.11.2009

Your odds against villain ranges:
1- KsJs,JsA*,7*7*,J*J*,T*T*,9*8*,A*J*,K*J* : 45%
2- KsJs,JsAs,7*7*,J*J*,T*T*,9*8*: 15%

Really hard to decide with no info. In regular tables, I've seen guys that only do that with range #2, guys that do it with range #1 and guys doing it with air. I try to take a lot of notes when they are on these spots (who goes all-in, he calls).

As you can see, defining the range for the villain, just by knowing if he'd play TP like this changes 30% on your equity.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

A straight seems unlikely in villains range. Villain is opening from UTG and called a 3bet. You are most only beat against a set and you flipping against draws. Read less I would go for it, but it's really villain depended.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

bg.pokerstrategy.com
Борд: Jh7sTs
Очакван дял Печалба Равенство
MP2 35.38% 35.25% 0.13% { QhQs }
MP3 64.62% 64.49% 0.13% { JJ-TT, 77, AJs, KQs, JTs, AsKs }


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EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Hello,

Even though villain's line is strong I die on the flop, we're going to play with variance, but you're blocking outs on his draws, you take one out from his FD and two outs from AK and some straight draw, adding up what he could have in his range some TP you have equity to play for boxes.


Mesa: J♥T♠7♠
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
MP2    48.03%  47.76%   0.27% { JJ-TT, 77, AKs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, 98s, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, Ks9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AJo, KQo }
BU     51.97%  51.70%   0.27% { QhQs }


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by EnriqueBunbury
Hello,

Even though villain's line is strong I die on the flop, we're going to play with variance, but you're blocking outs on his draws, you take one out from his FD and two outs from AK and some straight draw, adding up what he could have in his range some TP you have equity to play for boxes.


Mesa: J♥T♠7♠
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
MP2    48.03%  47.76%   0.27% { JJ-TT, 77, AKs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, 98s, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, Ks9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AJo, KQo }
BU     51.97%  51.70%   0.27% { QhQs }

I think you have taken a very wide range for villain flop raise range...


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EnriqueBunbury
Joined: 20.05.2010

Maybe, I gave him a range that he could open from UTG and he calls 3bet.
The smaller the bluff range, the lower the equity of our hand.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by EnriqueBunbury
Maybe, I gave him a range that he could open from UTG and he calls 3bet.
The smaller the bluff range, the lower the equity of our hand.

You should include only with what he is raising the flop...


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