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$2 / 9m / AJo / bubble

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ggeshov
Joined: 25.12.2010

Hello,

Not sure about this hand Perhaps should have folded OTF or shove myself. Please advise.

PokerStars, $1.78 + $0.22 - Hold'em No Limit - 200/400 (25 ante) - 4 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: 6,563 (16 bb)
BU: 849 (2 bb)
SB: 4,039 (10 bb)
BB (Hero): 2,049 (5 bb)

Pre-Flop: (700) Hero is BB with J A
UTG raises to 800, BTN 3-bets to 824 (all-in), 1 fold, Hero calls 424, UTG calls 24

Flop: (2,772) 3 2 5 (3 players, 1 all-in)
Hero checks, UTG bets 1,386, Hero calls 1,200 (all-in)


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

On the bubble this is a fold or a shove depending on what you know about UTG.
I think flat is perhaps my least favourite move.
:diamond:  You're probably ahead of BU's shove range
:diamond:  calling gives utg pot odds to call any flop bet, and when you check, UTG can just attack, leaving you with two overs and a gutshot.
:diamond:  Your stack is so small that even shoving gives UTG odds to call w/ any two cards.
:diamond:  If this is the bubble, then this was a 9-man, and if BU gets knocked out, then you're ITM — you're still the shorty, but you can play the two big stacks against each other.

I have you checked this hand in the nash calculator?
See: https://www.holdemresources.net/nashicm
Fill in the stack sizes, blinds and antes and prizes and you're good to go.

If you do, please post the results. I'm both curious and lazy :coolface:


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ggeshov
Joined: 25.12.2010

Thanks for the feedback!

If CO pushes and BU calls, the BB overcalls with 46.6%, 22+ Ax K2s+ K3o+ Q2s+ Q7o+ J6s+ J8o+ T7s+ T9o 98s.

In this case I believe that best option would be to push preflop.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Indeed. I would shove all day. Decent change you can end the bubble with AJo and the UTG player should call tight against 2 all-ins.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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