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OK I'm baffled

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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Opponent in MP is playing 14/14/9 over a small sample

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 6 players

UTG: $30.21 (121 bb)
MP: $26.35 (105 bb)
CO: $48.37 (193 bb)
BU (Hero): $25.94 (104 bb)
SB: $25.83 (103 bb)
BB: $84.59 (338 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with J♥:A♦:
1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets to $2.60, 2 players fold, MP calls $1.85 <<< this is a 3Bet bluff or a fold. I sometimes do one, sometimes the other. If I had checked MP's stats first, I might have folded.

Flop: ($5.55) T♦:5♣:J♠: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $2.76, MP calls $2.76 <<< I considered checking this back, but thought that my top pair needed protection.

Turn: ($11.07) A♣: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks <<< I checked back here, thinking that one of MP's more likely hands was KQ.

River: ($11.07) 9♠: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks <<< A mistake I think. KQ would have bet by now, and I beat most Ax hands.

Comments?


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5 replies
Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

I cbet flop 35%, turn 50%, and then jam river.

Your read is way too narrow.

You have TT in 3bet pot.


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jiffybag
Joined: 21.12.2010

I checked back here, thinking that one of MP's more likely hands was KQ.

What about 98s, T9s, QTs, KTs? I bet turn.


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EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

I think you are worrying too much 'what if I got raised?'. Its completely groundless because your typical nl25 player wont bluff raise in this spot enough to give you tough spot. On the other hand they may not valuebet AQ/AK on river so your default action should be bet, even for 1/3.


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mkBISCUIT
Joined: 19.01.2018

Vorpal,
I get your thought behind the no 3 bet pre. I sometimes do this when i have a bigger sample on villains, when i have some small samples i normally play more aggressive.

2 ways to play IMO, first way, as you did bet flop, once turn comes, and finishes, a possible str8, IP i am betting 2/3 pot. what's to say you didn't 3 bet with KQ. if you get reraised fold. I think i would also, bet the river NOT A JAM, maybe blocker bet for value 33%-55%.

second way- check flop, delay cbet turn for half pot to 2/3 pot, then POT size bet river. you do have a good value hand with 2 pair, you kind of really don't block any str8 hands. But we are playing that if tight villain makes the small str8 or nut str8 you are going to want to hear something from him. IF nothing he could have AK,AQ, 2 clubs.

When i have a small sample size on villain's i really don't pay attention to them, I try to make villain tell me something during hand. IS this all makes sense


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Originally posted by Dr1fter808
I cbet flop 35%, turn 50%, and then jam river.

Your read is way too narrow.

You have TT in 3bet pot.

But I don't have TT at all — are you're saying I should take this line to rep TT?

Your line though is likely the correct one, and if I had taken it, I likely would not have seen the showdown (or even the river)

Spoiler

River: ($11.07) 9♠: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $11.07 (Rake: $0.50)

Showdown:
BU (Hero) shows J♥:A♦: (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
MP shows 4♦:5♦: (a pair of Fives)
BU (Hero) wins $10.57


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