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AA turn deep

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Dragar
Joined: 09.09.2008

GGPoker, Hold'em No Limit - $0.10/$0.25 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

7d8e8238 (UTG): $25.35 (101 bb)
a4bbcb85 (MP): $28.82 (115 bb)
cede2764 (CO): $62.90 (252 bb)
Hero (BU): $54.21 (217 bb)
1ea9b376 (SB): $24.45 (98 bb)
ee369f2f (BB): $14.65 (59 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35) Hero (Hero) is BTN with A A
2 players fold, cede2764 (CO) raises to $0.63, Hero (BU) 3-bets to $2.50, 2 players fold, cede2764 (CO) calls $1.87

Flop: ($5.35) 7 K 8 (2 players)
cede2764 (CO) checks, Hero (BU) bets $1.77, cede2764 (CO) raises to $5.15, Hero (BU) calls $3.38

Turn: ($15.65) A (2 players)
cede2764 (CO) checks, Hero (BU) bets $17.50

Turn line? Should we over bet here or bet low or check?
Was overbetting to charge flush draw or cooler sets. If his flop was a bluff raise or he has lower pocket pair than K I don't think bet size matters anymore as he folds all, even if I check turn and bet river.


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5 replies
Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Given ESS, I would 3bet pre to 12BB, 52% pot on flop, 78% pot on turn, and then shove river.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I think 3bet sizing is already big in position. $2 is already more than 3x.
As played I would bet around half pot on turn and river so deep.
If you over bet like now you get only action of 2 pair or better and I don't think those hands would check the turn and it's unlikely villain has a ace and you block the nut flush draw.

If villain would call against you're over bet you have a easy shove on the river I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by SDK1987
I think 3bet sizing is already big in position. $2 is already more than 3x.
As played I would bet around half pot on turn and river so deep.
If you over bet like now you get only action of 2 pair or better and I don't think those hands would check the turn and it's unlikely villain has a ace and you block the nut flush draw.

If villain would call against you're over bet you have a easy shove on the river I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987

What about ESS? How are you gonna try to get the villain's stack?

Edit: typo


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Not sure what ESS means, but I don't think we need to stack off with AA post-flop.
If villain has a decent hand it will happen anyway.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by SDK1987
Not sure what ESS means, but I don't think we need to stack off with AA post-flop.
If villain has a decent hand it will happen anyway.

Oh, my bad then.


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