Hi all,
so this is about a hand played at the lodge, KBM holding Q8o and Tarras holding T9s, it starts at 6:26:30, the YT title is "HIGH STAKES! $400/800 with Doug Polk, Nik Airball, Jungleman, Ben Lamb, KeyboardMonkey":
Spoiler
So obviously KBM seems to think that he's good on the turn (otherwise he wouldn't have called). The river (for all intents and purposes) is a brick and yet he check-folds to a half-pot-bet.
Before he made the call on turn, as I was watching, I thought "If you think you're good, you should shove". But then I thought "hmmm, no worse hand is ever calling that shove and (most likely) you're not getting Tarras (specifically) to fold AQ or better".
So then, maybe it is best to call if he thinks he's better. That way if he is indeed better he has a high chance of Tarras putting in the remainder of his stack, whereas if he shoves he risks that Tarras folds the worse hand. If the river is an A or a K and Tarras has AK so be it, he will probably have to call him off as those are also excellent cards to continue to bluff at IP after a check by KBM, if Tarras had a medium pocket pair or something like what he's actually holding.
I would really like to know the forum's thoughts on this hand.
Thank you