I am trying to make sense of the solver result on a hand here.
The played hand is:
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
BTN: 145.5 BB
SB: 116.5 BB
Hero (BB): 111 BB
UTG: 102.5 BB
MP: 402 BB
CO: 347 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♠ A♥
UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 9.5 BB, UTG calls 6.5 BB
Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) J♥ 2♣ K♦
Hero bets 6.5 BB, UTG calls 6.5 BB
Turn: (32.5 BB, 2 players) A♦
Hero checks, UTG bets 16 BB, Hero calls 16 BB
River: (64.5 BB, 2 players) 4♥
Hero checks, UTG bets 70.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 70.5 BB
UTG shows T♥ 9♥ (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 40%, Flop 22%, Turn 9%)
Hero shows K♠ A♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)
(Pre 60%, Flop 78%, Turn 91%)
Hero wins 198.5 BB
Now I have loaded this in the solver. I am trying to figure out the good play of Vilain going all in at the river.
The solver seems to indicate this could be a good all-in bluff only if T9 is suited in diamonds.
See below it is going all-in (pink) with Td9d. However for Th9h this is a check (give up).
Td9d All-in 99%
Th9h Check 96%
[Sorry no picture as I am not allowed yet - arf]
This seems a bit counter intuitive as having diamond blocks some of my missed flush draw which I am more likely to fold. So I would be more inclined not to bluff with diamonds contrary to what to the solver shows.
Would you have further analysis or explanations?
