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[Closed] NL100 ATo Villain plays back after my bullying

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DeKuip
Joined: 07.03.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($112)
BB ($100)
UTG ($149)
UTG+1 ($124)
CO ($101)
Hero ($106)

Dealt to Hero T♦ A♥

fold, fold, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, fold, fold

FLOP ($7.50) 3♣ T♠ 9♦

CO bets $4, Hero raises to $12, CO raises to $31, Hero ???

CO: 23/19/2.4 (477 hands). ATS CO 32%, cbet 58%, Flop AF 4.8, flop AFq 45%.

I've been bullying Villain for quite a while. Often 3bet him because his fold to 3bet is rather high. So here I thought raising flop would be good, just to keep pressure on him. But he decided to 3bet, so afterwards I thought calling was maybe better instead of raising?

But what do I do after his 3bet?


2 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Any reads on his flop bet sizing?

I don't mind the raise because he bet really small, might be trying to give himself a cheap price with QJ.

Do you think he is betting so small to induce and get it in on the flop with a set? If you think he is likelier to counter spazz your bullying but may give up on the turn, then I will flat flop and fold turn.

And anyway I'm not too sure if he wants to play back at you postflop since your bullying was done preflop.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Once you raised i'd fold to his 3bet.

His range looks like this (i think even though you bullied him he's bluff3betting very rarely):
{99+,33,QJs,T9s,87s,QJo}
and against that range your equity isn't good:
Board: Tc 9d 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 70.248% 70.24% 00.01% 308751 30.00 { 99+, 33, QJs, T9s, 87s, QJo }
Hand 1: 29.752% 29.75% 00.01% 130749 30.00 { ATo }

At first i liked the raise but now i think on this board i prefer a call.
The only worse hands he's calling are JT-KT.
If he continues betting you can call at least one more bet and you still have the option to bluff later in the hand.