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[Closed] NL 100 - TP vs strange big river bet

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NymXXL
Joined: 20.05.2008

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($160.23)
UTG ($101.50)
BB ($109.56) 100 hands - 29/22/40 AFr %/ 57 % fold BB to steal
MP ($117.15)
Button ($120.01)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, J
3 folds, Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6) 4, 8, K (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BB calls $5

Turn: ($16) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $11, BB calls $11

River: ($38) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $33, Hero calls $33

Total pot: $104
Again, my image is aggro I am stealing almost every hand on BTN. His BIG bet on the river does not make sense to me. If he has hand which goes for big value on the river then he is almost never calling me twice on FD board so I don´t expect him to flop set as well as 2 pairs. Only possible hands which make sense to me is flop futshot he decided to float or set on the turn.


2 replies
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd make it $13 on the turn for value.

As played on the river it's interesting. He polarizes his range by betting that big since he can't expect to be called my medium strength hands when he makes it that big.

On balance I think you can either fold or call this, it's a guessing game what he could play like this.
You can start levelling and say that since he can't expect our medium strength hands to call a big bet and we know that, he tries to induce a herocall - so we might actually be ahead of a part of his valuebettingrange.

So I probably end up calling this although you can argue for a fold as well - a big bet could simply be for max value.


Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Agreed. Really close. I think once you check river to induce, the base line is to call. However, he bets so big that I actually dont expect to be ahead that often here. Rivering two pair with KQ is possible, and the bottom of his range.

I am inquisitive though, so I probably call. :)