[Closed] K7s 2/4

Against this passive guy I would bet the turn for free SD as it is unlikely to get checkraised. Our equity is also very good if he has 3x or 2x and sometimes we're ahead.

I think bluff induction is better. He is probably going to bet river alot of we check back turn. We don't really mind taking a free card either.

If we bet, I think we only get called by made hands as I think he wold tend to bet his flushraws again on turn, adn the rest of his holdings will fold.

I actually don't mind betting here at all.

If he's unpaired or has a low PP we can get him to fold and he's passive so I don't like taking an "induction" line because he simply won't fall for it enough and I'm certainly not taking K7s to SD here vs him if he bets the river. if he was bluffing at the flop then we take it down, that's fine, we weren't showing down anyway so the concept of "getting better hands to fold" falls behind "winning the pot" in importance.

If called on the turn the river's tricky as the obvious draw completed but I would expect him to donk a made flush for fear you'd check behind.

If bet into it's a pretty clear fold

If checked to the question becomes can we get him off a small pair so it comes down to "Do you believe 33% of the time he has a small PP he's willing to fold here when he checks?". Given the river also completes some sets and straights I don't think there are enough combos we can get him off here but then again our hand may seem like it has SD value but on that river it has none vs his turn peeling range. If we check behind we're giving up.

This may be a very rare situation but I may just bet here thinking we pretty much never have the best hand and a decent % of the time he's going to have a pair he's played passively and go "ugh everything completed and there's an Ace on board and he's bet 2 streets when I checked, guess I should fold my pair" which isn't a terrible thought process.