[Closed] NL200 QQ vs raise flop

If he has a set, he will keep barreling and I fold on turn or river.

but u didnt fold on turn.

If u think he wil lraise overpairs on flop here i thiunk its better to donk turn while he could ch beh it and also cos we will have no info about his range. But i mostly just fold flop vs this nitty guy
Why dont you show his raise cbet stat?

I'd just fold on the flop vs him.
Imo he's unlikely to raise 88-JJ and even FDs since our range for opening and cbetting this board is so strong (he has a lot of PPs in his range so we don't cbet as much air).

If you don't want to fold there are only 2 possibilities:
3bet flop or call flop - lead turn.
Everything else results in giving him free cards and/or cheap showdowns (i.e. we lose a lot of value).
In case I want to continue I prefer to 3bet the flop because there are a lot of cards we don't want to see on the turn and additionally a raise looks weaker than a call because we'd 3bet FDs and bluffs instead of floating OOP.

Originally posted by Bierbaer
I'd just fold on the flop vs him.

And from which point you start 3betting? I would say Af more than 3 and raise flop at least 15% (preferably 20%).

Thx

I would never make a decision like this based on 2 stats.
It's more about a) the opponent is capable of making such a move as a bluff or not and b) he has to have hands in his range that he can turn into a bluff like this.

Example: You have an opponent who rarely calls openraises, and if he does it, then only with good hands like TT+,AQ+ and only IP.
He might easily have a raise-cbet% of 25 because he has very strong hands most of the time but he is neither very aggressive nor necessarily very tight - he just doesn't call too many openraises.

This is a bad spot for him to bluffraise, so unless I saw him raising in a spot like this 2 or 3 times I'd just muck.