Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

910o ~ river value bet sizing

6 Posts
6 Users
2 Reactions
61 Views
DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $23.61 (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
SB: $105.11 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
Hero (BB): $25.25
UTG: $25.34 (VPIP: 22.25, PFR: 17.30, 3Bet Preflop: 5.33, Hands: 464)
MP: $45.28 (VPIP: 17.86, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 9.35, Hands: 375)
CO: $21.35 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has T♥ 9♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50, 2 players) 3♣ T♠ 9♦
SB bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50

Turn: ($6.00, 2 players) 3♠
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50

River: ($11.00, 2 players) T♦
SB checks, Hero bets $3.50, SB calls $3.50

Spoiler

Hero shows T♥ 9♠ (Full House, Tens full of Nines)
(Pre 18%, Flop 75%, Turn 9%)
SB mucks A♣ A♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Tens)
(Pre 82%, Flop 25%, Turn 91%)
Hero wins $17.19

Range on the river I'm thinking overpairs or 10x. If I bet 1/2 (or bigger) I think he's folding overpairs. I also want him to raise his 10x so I think making a smallish size is optimal?


Reply
Quote
5 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I think you can bet the turn bigger as well. If he has an over pair, he could call 2 streets of a bet of at least half pot.

Cheers,
SDK1987


Reply
Quote
Spud1
Joined: 30.07.2014

I think i like the turn bet sizing - we are struggling to get called by worse, and overpairs beat us once the board pairs.

Not sure on the river - I can see the logic of what you are doing, but I'm not sure... In villain's shoes what is going to call if we raise? I think I prefer betting very big, and polarise our range, think even some overpairs (AA, KK ) might find a call


Reply
Quote
buiscuil
Joined: 22.01.2013

Hi! Good hand to comment on.

I mean you have only 6 hands on the guy so there is no telling how he plays. With your raise, you're representing Tx+, including overpairs and sets, plus maybe the occasional QT and weird semi bluff with overcards. His range is pretty much the same minus the overcards and the sets I would say. You might had a few 3xs I guess depending on the player?

Having villain bluff river is quite difficult here. I would say the 3x is unlikely as he would certainly have raised the turn. We're left with pretty much your assessment of Tx and overpairs for the bulk of his range, + the QT. Having QT bluff raise you is going to be hard given the aggressive line that you took. That would mean betting very very small, probably ~$1. I just don't see it as the most EV move. So just focus on extracting the most with a bet. I like your sizing for an unknown. Versus a reg that could try to hero that seems a good size too. I would tend to bet more along the $4.5-$5.5 though. Versus a fish that will call with any Tx I would bet between 1/2 and 2/3, say $6.5.


Reply
Quote
MatoStar
Joined: 22.07.2017

Hmm I would bet bigger OTT, still get calls by all Tx and it's more combos than overpairs, so you have a value bet absolutely (also some FDs). And you should bet bigger also with your bluffs.
OTR I would choose 1/2 sizing, because now it really looks like a nuts or just full house.


Reply
Quote
Grossmeiseter
Joined: 15.10.2007

I would Bet big or even Overbet. Ich think the time he hast it or make an herocall ist Worth IT. Your samallish turnbet Looks Like oesd or some stupid Hands except Maybe the Hand you have. I mean TX does Not raise the Flop. Your value Ränge ist really very small


Reply
Quote