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nl100 trips bvb

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

no reads on him, don't think we have played together, as I don't recognize his name

datamined stats over 40k hands

23/18 7% 3b
steal bvb 28%
cb: 57/52/51

wtsd 29, wwsf 44
interesting part stats here:
when skipped turn cb x/f 53, x/c 19, x/r 29

1) if you have draw, do you xbeh turn, and bluff river, as his turn x/r is so huge?
2) didn't want to bet turn ip, because don't want to face turn x/r, do you agree?
3) otr my range is capped to AT, right?
4) his range is uncapped
5) otr I want to bluff some hands (point 1)
6) do you like this small sizing for both value and bluffs?
7) i'm close to top of my range, but he has so much more hands than QT here, in fact he should easily shove AT here, as I simply don't have better hands... and this is nl100, fold right now close to top of my range?

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Player6 ($340.58) 341bb
UTG+1 Player1 ($41.97) 42bb
CO Player2 ($133.16) 133bb
BTN Player3 ($100) 100bb
SB Player4 ($104.53) 105bb
BB ciachooooo ($141.73) 142bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) ciachooooo is BB Q♠ 10:diamond:
4 folds, Player4 raises to $3, ciachooooo calls $2

Flop: 4♥ K♦ 10:spade: ($6, 2 players)
Player4 bets $3.80, ciachooooo calls $3.80

Turn: 7♦ ($13.60, 2 players)
Player4 checks, ciachooooo checks

River: 10:heart: ($13.60, 2 players)
Player4 bets $11, ciachooooo raises to $27.69, Player4 goes all-in $97.73, $70.04 to ciachooooo ($107.24)?


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8 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

1. Yes you probably should check back turn pretty often vs someone who is often taking turn checkraise lines

2. why would you want to bet 2nd pair here? I don't think you have too much value in a turn bet

3. Sure, don't see how you are ever checking back the Turn with any stronger hands

4. It certainly is, especially when he's someone who likes taking turn check lines with strong hands. KK is a decent part of his range


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

5. I suppose you could bluff some combos if you are indeed raising here with TX. You probably shouldn't raise too many bluffs though, at least when you think about exploitive play. Villain made a really large river bet and his size is consistent with a TX type of hand

6. well firstly, what hands are you targeting?

7. I don't think he's reshoving light here too often. I'm calling AT and KT is tough but I think QT is probably a fold.


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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

i traget Kx/Tx

KT has 2p on turn, and FH otr, we don't have it in our range, so only AT better than QT


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Oh yea thats true. QT+ then


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bisovic
Joined: 04.08.2011

Did you call?

Showdown? :)


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NewwWorld
Joined: 24.09.2012

"3) otr my range is capped to AT, right?
4) his range is uncapped"

Good thinking, villian could be making a great bluff here because of that, although, would he really think about it that much?
As u said, his range is uncapped, so that doesn't only mean he can bluff you off a good hand (since he can rep monsters), but that also means he can actually have those monsters..
He didn't show much weakness. His turnch doesnt mean that much. He could easily go for a c/r with a monster to get a bet out of your floats and create a bigger pot vs ur value hands.

Unless is WWSD is very low , and river agg% very high, it's a pretty clear fold.


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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

I folded, and i think this is good fold, because I just don't expect std nl100 reg to try me bluff of Tx here, wanted to check thinking process (that's why I asked so many questions;p)


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bisovic
Joined: 04.08.2011

Originally posted by ciachooooo
I folded, and i think this is good fold, because I just don't expect std nl100 reg to try me bluff of Tx here, wanted to check thinking process (that's why I asked so many questions;p)

I think so :)


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