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NL200 3rd value bullet or chb?

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Mantelo
Joined: 12.05.2009

BB is a weak player 34/25/12,5 over 170 hands. Call BB 20%, fold2cbet 22%; ch/raise 0%. Where are not so much flush hands as I hold As, but just a couple of hands that could call my 3rd bet. So should I chb River or try a thin value bet? I tried to put him on a reasonable range & it looks like that I'm slightly behind on the River :f_confused:

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Kc6s4sQhTs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 51.52% 51.52% 0.00% { K2s+, QsJs, QsTs, JsTs, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, Qs8s, Js8s, Ts8s, K9o+ }
MP3 48.48% 48.48% 0.00% { AsAc }

$1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $183.85 (91.9 bb)
SB: $111.65 (55.8 bb)
BB: $197.75 (98.9 bb)
Hero (CO): $200 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A A
Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, BB calls $3

Flop: ($11) 6 K 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls $7

Turn: ($25) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $16, BB calls $16

River: ($57) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Results:

Spoiler

$57 pot ($2 rake)
Final Board: 6 K 4 Q T
BB showed K 7 and lost (-$28 net)
Hero showed A A and won $55 ($27 net)


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2 replies
axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

I think you have to make it bigger otf and ott. I would make it close to pot on both streets. As played, given the range you asigned villain, I guess we can't valuebet so cb looks fine. But then im not rly sure how wide this 34/25 guy would call here pre. Ingame I would probably slamdunk valuebet this everyday of the week against a "fish", but it obv seems closer than one might expect.

I also don't think his call% preflop and his postflop stats are any relevant at all, given the small sample


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

Bet larger on earlier streets cos he is bad. River bet would certainly be thin.

I would look at his preflop calling range in BB vs a steal. If its wide u shod bet small like halfpot here. It helps that u have A:s blocker.

Bad thing is that your raise size is 2.5bb and not a mr and u are in CO instead of BU so this makes me lean more towards a check.

Thanks.


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