I have a question regarding river calls. Say I face a river bet and I call. For a 1/2 pot sized bet the odds I'm getting are 3:1 so I need to win 25% of the time to break even. Similarly for a pot sized bet I get 2:1 so I need to win 33% of the time. Finally for say a 3x overbet I would need to win about 43% of the time.
My W$SD when I call a river bet is 49%, yet my graph for this filter is a steadily downward sloping one. What am I missing?