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33 set on capped flop, more agression or not

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pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

I decided to calldown after the flop cap but I maybe this is a but too tight, what would you have done?

Stats villian: VPIP 27 PFR 7 3-bet 1.3 AF 1.4 WTSD 33 and W$SD 46 in 907 hands

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 Limit Hold'em Cash, 10 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is SB with 3 3
7 folds, BTN calls, Hero completes, BB checks

Flop: (3 SB) 5 3 Q (3 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, BTN raises, Hero 3-bets, BB folds, BTN caps, Hero calls

Turn: (6 BB) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls

River: (8 BB) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls

Results:

Spoiler

10 BB pot (0.4 BB rake)
Final Board: 5 3 Q 2 8
Hero mucked 3 3 and lost (-4.5 BB net)
BTN showed 6 4 and won 9.6 BB (5.1 BB net)


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8 replies
RedHeater
Joined: 08.10.2010

I would raise preflop. As played readless I would put another bet in on the turn, he can still have a flush draw etc. That's assuming guys at these stakes on this site do that. We have anyway outs to improve.


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Sailer85
Joined: 15.10.2009

I agree with RedHeater. You are putting him on QQ, 55 or SD,FD played very agressive (could be 67,64,42,A2,A4 of )
Raise PF, as played I would raise T.


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Moderator
pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

Ok thank you, already thought that, but sometimes I am scared by the flop cap......


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Sailer85
Joined: 15.10.2009

you could always check his previous capped flop hands, if he shows the nuts every time you can asume he doesnt cap on the flop as a bluf, just used monsters. which is very exploitable, so you can look it up and make a note...


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Moderator
pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

Ok but I don't think that I will find much hands which he capped op flop :)


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Edit: Ignore this first paragraph (see post below). Raising preflop is pretty much exactly the wrong idea with 33 OOP vs 2. This is the worst situation (number of players, action and position) for the hand.

Postflop looks okay. Note that the cost when we lose is 3BB, not the 1BB we lose when we play passively. Villain can play perfectly (because he is in position) and realize all value. We can't. We need to be much more than a favorite to raise once more. Are we?

Overall, well played.


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RedHeater
Joined: 08.10.2010

Raise preflop to get head's up against the button. We can expect him to have a weak range when he is limping in late position like this. On low flops we get a bit of it, and on high card flops a lot of the time our cbet will take it down.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by RedHeater
Raise preflop to get head's up against the button. We can expect him to have a weak range when he is limping in late position like this. On low flops we get a bit of it, and on high card flops a lot of the time our cbet will take it down.

You are right!

My concentration was off. I though we were in the big blind with BU and SB already limped in.


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