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KJo 1/24

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hairysnake
Joined: 24.03.2010

Poker Stars, $1/$2 Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is MP with J K
Hero raises, 3 folds, BB calls

Flop: (4.5 SB) 4 8 J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls

Turn: (3.3 BB) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls

River: (7.3 BB) 7 (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls

Results: 9.3 BB pot (0.4 BB rake)

BB 1,3k hands
26/13/4,2/1,0 (VPIP/PFR/3B/AF)
Fold BB to Steal : 55%
Fold F/T/R to CB : 22 / 24 / 25 %
WTSD: 42% W$SD : 55%
c/r Flop : 7% c/r Turn 15%

One time 3bet K9s preflop vs MP2 Tag raise
Usually passive and straightforward

This turn card is not very good for me but BB can have some flushdraws and worse Jhigh in his range. That's why I decided to calldown. What to do on this river card. Is it possible that he bet this river with busted flushdraw knowing that I'll call it most of the time ?


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

This guy looks kinda nitty when i see his stats. Just 26/13 and 1.0 AF. Not a guy that typically checkraises the Turn with just a naked Flushdraw, given you openraised from early and you did bet the turn again which shows a lot of strenght. But of couse he may have QJ or KQ though i doubt it. Looks more like T7 QT or a made flush that he didnt play aggressively.

JT got there and he shouldnt defend J5 J6 preflop and most of the times he'd checkraise the Flop with those hands. The thing is you get 1:9,3 on the River and you have your top range. There are better hands but gametheorywise KJ is too strong to fold and although the read tells me you should have folded, i'd call off the River and show down the hand with no particular reads given.

Lets say he'd a little more aggressive or unknown it's just a snapcall on the River but due to his nitty stats i question whether i'd do a tough fold. In hindsight you may consider folding but ingame, having 4 tables open and not enough time to think i'd always call. :)


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