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2nd nuts flush vs opponents shove

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KornoutOkoralej
Joined: 15.12.2022

Hello everyone,

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 110 BB - 241H - 11/8/1
CO: 159 BB
BTN: 122 BB
SB: 102 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5♥ K♥

UTG raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 8♥ 2♥ 8♣
Hero checks, UTG bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Usually I would fold this hand preflop, but I decided to call for any reason.
Standard call OTF.

Turn: (11.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥
Hero checks, UTG bets 5.5 BB, Hero calls 5.5 BB

I do not think the villain has nuts flush as he would not open with all the suited aces, maybe ATs+ and he bet only 1/2 pot.

River: (22.5 BB, 2 players) K♦
Hero checks, UTG bets 99 BB and is all-in, Hero ?

I do not think that nit would bluff OTR. Villain could have hit set on the paired board so I guess it is better to fold against this player however it is tough to fold 2nd nuts flush.

What do you think?

Spoiler

Hero fold
UTG wins 21.5 BB


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6 replies
jiffybag
Joined: 21.12.2010

I would have folded this pre vs a nit. If you hit top pair you are never good. You block some of V flushes and you block KK. If I give V a range of only hearts then it looks like below. Nits will bluff once and then give up on most turns, some of his flop bluffs get there now. I'd fold on the river.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 8h2h8c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 57.62% 56.26% 1.35% { KK, 88, AdAh, AhAs, AhAc, QdQh, QhQs, QhQc, JdJh, JhJs, JhJc, TdTh, ThTs, ThTc, 9d9h, 9h9s, 9h9c, 7d7h, 7h7s, 7h7c, AKs, KJs+, AhQh, AhJh, QhJh, AdKh, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AcKh, AdQh, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AsQh, AcQh, AdJh, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AsJh, AcJh, KdQh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQh, KcQh }
BB 42.38% 41.03% 1.35% { Kh5h }


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EmiyaKiritsugu
Joined: 13.08.2013

Pre - I wanted to say for me it would be fold preflop against 3bb open from this gentleman but its nl2 rake so against 2,5bb I think its also fold
Postflop - definitely you missed raise on turn. On river against 5x overbet from this guy I fold faster that light. 77 probably bottom of range xD


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Fold preflop. As played you could raise OTT. As for the river you should ask yourself is he cappable overplaying his made hands. KK will be highly unlikely here, 99-QQ as well. Dont think this hands will bet that big. The only weaker hand i see playing this way will be AA. All in all i am toward folding here.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

This is a call preflop according to solver but I don't always follow the solver so I would actually fold here preflop.

In solver, I think this is 76% call and 24% 3bet preflop.


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NoNameHypo
Joined: 28.04.2023

I do not think the villain has nuts flush as he would not open with all the suited aces, maybe ATs+ and he bet only 1/2 pot.

complete nonsense...

Fold OTR, the price is too high..For this call vs tight UTG..


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by Dr1fter808
This is a call preflop according to solver but I don't always follow the solver so I would actually fold here preflop.

In solver, I think this is 76% call and 24% 3bet preflop.

Is interesting to know what kind of range solver thinks what the UTG raising range will be.
I expect the range will be a lot wider than someone would raise with a PFR of 8.
It feels like a range like 88+, AJ+ and maybe KQs what this particler player would raise from UTG and I don't think K5s will be a profitable call against a range like that.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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