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77 middle set, river?

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $21.42 (85.7 bb)
BB: $37.25 (149 bb)
UTG+1: $25 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $25 (100 bb)
Hero (MP1): $29.52 (118.1 bb)
MP2: $25.83 (103.3 bb)
MP3: $33.81 (135.2 bb)
CO: $36.65 (146.6 bb)
BTN: $25.91 (103.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 7 7
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, 2 folds, CO calls $0.70, BTN folds, SB calls $0.60, BB calls $0.45

Flop: ($2.80) J 7 3 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.02, CO calls $2.02, SB folds, BB calls $2.02

Turn: ($8.86) 2 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6, CO calls $6, BB folds

River: ($20.86) A (2 players)
Hero ?

villain13/11, wwsf 38, bet river 30, fold to cb flop 52, turn 25, river 45, wtsd 31 w$sd 45 in1.2kh

vbet against AJ and 33 ? something like 10$ or check call repping JX, QQ, KK? he will bet AJ 33 and his busted FDs

if we bet arround 10$, its a bet fold?


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4 replies
kevin2001
Joined: 14.02.2009

i would bet slightly bigger on the flop so i could shove river with less than a PSB.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Bet river. Villain is tight and I am not sure he will bet river himself.


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Balltas
Joined: 13.01.2011

I dont see how you want to bet/fold.
you are beaten by 45, AA, JJ.
45 - highly unlikelly because vilain is tight.
AA, JJ - would have raised preflop
so you are ahead most of the time here. (I think)
what is villains AF? Does he like to just call? If he usually is agresive then he is slowplaying somehthing big.
He dont have right price to call on FD because FD has low implied odds, unless he has overs and he thinks that his FD + 2 overs is good enaugh vs yuo range.
Or he is a fish and dont think much.

Overall I would play bet/broke here. Dont know if I am right
He could pay you off with AJ or 33, or you can extract for one more call on the river if he holds AhXh.


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KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

Bet river.

I would say easy value bet, since he probably holds a few AhXh nut flush draws, which might call of a riverbet. I guess you can even jam, and he might hero call you.

Also he would probably raise most of his sets on the turn at least, so I think it's quite easy to bet river.


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