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99 call river

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Marcoamma
Joined: 21.09.2016

PokerStars - €0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.94, PFR: 11.89, 3Bet Preflop: 3.95, Hands: 422)
CO: 84.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 9)
BTN: 55.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 88.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
UTG: 92 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♠ 9♥

UTG calls 1 BB, MP raises to 6 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 5.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (14 BB, 2 players) 8♠ 3♥ T♦
Hero checks, MP bets 10 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

Turn: (34 BB, 2 players) 6♦
Hero checks, MP bets 18 BB, Hero calls 18 BB

River: (70 BB, 2 players) K♥
Hero checks, MP bets 21 BB, fold

I think Opponent is nitty. Has Cbet 63 WtS 27 WSD 59.

I think it's a good choice call on this F. I suppose he have this open range: 44+, A7s+, ATo+, KJ+, QJs, KQo, KJo.

OTF I have 60% equity and i decide to call, a raise isolate me with his top range.
OTT it is correct to call? Maybe he could also bet with hands like AJo, AQo, AQs, QJs, A8s, A7s and 77.
OTR I decided to fold but I don't know if was the correct decision because I have 43% equity and was necessary 23% in order to call.
I feel strange when i saw 21BB bet, maybe I could raise in bluff.

What do you think?


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8 replies
jimmy21492
Joined: 17.11.2010

FLOP: Always call
Turn: It's a hard spot. Against a bigger bet and agaisnt this type of opponnent it's always better to fold. But to a 1/2 potsize is close, but playing OOP and not having a good plan for the River I think folding is the best decision.
River: If you don't want to call to this river betsize, you shouldn't have called the turn. Anyway, I would fold as played. I don't think raising is a good option because we can''t represent much and the opponent hasn't got many weak hands in his range.


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Marcoamma
Joined: 21.09.2016

I'm agree with you, I think that's the point:

River: If you don't want to call to this river betsize, you shouldn't have called the turn

Because when you decide to call the T you should call the R too when he bets 21BB to 70BB.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Preflop and flop are ok.
OTT I think calling is still fine because you pick up some equity (you now have a gutshot), but it is close.

Now I would say that we called turn because of our equity improved slightly and we are hoping that villain gives up OTR. The fact that we called turn doesn't always mean we should call river too. It would be so if 1) we have a decent made hand and we think we can be ahead 2) we think villain might have been drawing 3) river doesn't change anything.
We have to win this only 18% of the times OTR but I don't think we will win even that. I don't see many tripple barrel bluffs on this board and he probably doesn't do this with weaker made hand.


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JB12Spawn
Joined: 14.09.2016

I would be inclined to fold the Flop. Even if his cbet% seems higher than optimal, it seems reasonable with that stats. His range pf is narrower than you think. MP isoraing UTG big, we're calling expecting to hit something big possibly threeway. Now we have a middle pair out of position against villain, who could be firing away multiple streets. If he was unknown or looser type, I would be more inclined to call him down. As played, the 1/3 River bet screams value, possibly JJ-QQ minimum. Doubt he would be bluffing with AdQd for example.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

X/f ott, this guy stats say it clearly


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

A tight player raises 6BB to me that screams monster, I would either
fold pre
call pre and c/f unless you hit a set

As played OTT, you're never ever ahead here so just fold. Go back over the hand, pre he raised 6X, OTF he bets 3/4, is a tight player doing that with hands you beat???


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Marcoamma
Joined: 21.09.2016

I think OTF you waste your equity if you fold because in his range there are a lots of combo like AK, AQ, KQ, AJ, not only pp. So i think if you don't call this F you get exploitable. If oppo like this fire turn too, maybe the fold is the best thing to do.


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

Originally posted by Marcoamma
I think OTF you waste your equity if you fold because in his range there are a lots of combo like AK, AQ, KQ, AJ, not only pp. So i think if you don't call this F you get exploitable. If oppo like this fire turn too, maybe the fold is the best thing to do.

In my experience at NL2 people dont raise 6X AND then bet 3/4 pot OTF with those hands, when 2 big bets go in they have a big pocket pair


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