AA call Turn?

Originally posted by Realgeist
Villain unknown.
At the turn I wasn't sure call or fold? Call flop push turn looks like set and I need a equity of ~ 25%.
Here is the range what I give villain here ...

Equity Win Tie
MP2 27.35% 26.89% 0.46% AA
MP3 72.65% 72.19% 0.46% TT, 44-22, A5s, KsQs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, JsTs

It's close, but I would call.
You both have the gutshot -- you have the overpair, but btn has the flush draw.

One gets there, one doesn't.

I added a bunch more hands to your considered range -- mostly more spades, and you still have enough equity to call

Board: 2♠3♠T♥ 4♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     38.27%  37.50%   0.77% { AdAh }
BU     61.73%  60.95%   0.77% { TT, 44-22, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, KsJs, QsJs, AsTs, KsTs, JsTs, As5s }

Unlucky

Also does villain have those 22-44 in his range? Possible but I would discount those as CO is still cold calling 3bet. So happily going broke personally on turn.

Thanks for your feedback.

He cold-called a 3bet so I do not think he's a good player.
I would exclude 22-44 from his range. Definitely would add TT+ and leave 1-2 combos of FD.

To me this is an easy call.

If 22-44 are in villains range you need to expect villains range to be quite wide so ye id call.Don't forget because of the pot odds your getting you can afford to be behind like 75% of the time.Because you only need like 25% equity to be break even and you should definitely be getting that here.So you should never really be folding an over pair in these spots imo.

Wow, this thread was a good read, I am also often in such position with aces and your explanations are very good and sensible! Thanks guys!