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AQo

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mistralx
Joined: 13.08.2014

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100.4 BB
SB: 144 BB (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
BB: 129.6 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
UTG: 102.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
MP: 124.2 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
CO: 97.2 BB (VPIP: 26.92, PFR: 19.23, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 26)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♠ A♥

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) K♦ A♠ Q♣
CO bets 5 BB, Hero calls 5 BB

Turn: (17.4 BB, 2 players) 9♥
CO bets 15 BB, Hero calls 15 BB

River: (47.4 BB, 2 players) 7♥
CO bets 48 BB, Hero calls 48 BB

Well, this is interesting spot.
I think call OTF and OTT is obvious and there is nothing to discuss about. There is no point in raising because every worse hand will fold and only better (QQ+, AQ+, QJ) will give me an action.

The problem is OTR.
I know that this is very strong line by villain, but I can suppose he is rather a fishy player:
- he played only 1 table
- he didn't fullfill his stack

Would you call OTR with this info or make a solid fold?


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4 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

I haven't read your thoughts here (I usually read OP thoughts after posting myself). Your AQ is relatively weak holding on this board (it cannot make much money on its own merits), and it is getting weaker and weaker per pot bet your opponent puts in. I am folding.

EDIT: (Having read OP) Trust his bets and stats more than some weird conception that fish hate money.


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LeSavant
Joined: 09.12.2006

I think even if we give Villain some bluffs (l put in AT which he might turn into a bluff and lets say he overplays A9 or KQ) we don't have the required equity to call OTR. And I think this range is rather optimistic given his bet sizing.


Board: K♦A♠Q♣ 9♥ 7♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     74.39%  73.17%   1.22% { QQ+, 99, AJs+, A9s, KQs, JTs, AKo, KQo, JTo }
BU     25.61%  24.39%   1.22% { AhQs }


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

When fish bets strong it has it... We can see a fold here but if you call - make a note.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I might have folded this one. Solid bets OTR on NL2 and 5 means strengths - and a lot. What hands could you possibly beat here? AT and AJ aren't betting 3 streets here in my experience on NL2 and 5.


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