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fold top set vs river raise?

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LacsapR
Joined: 14.07.2011

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $5.48 (109.6 bb)
BB: $2.48 (49.6 bb)
UTG: $7.85 (157 bb)
MP: $14.67 (293.4 bb)
CO: $3.88 (77.6 bb)
BTN: $19.65 (393 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T♥: Q♦:
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, BB calls $0.07

standard steal

Flop: ($0.24) 3♦: 4♣: 6♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

don't think conti-bet makes sense here.

Turn: ($0.24) T♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.15, BB calls $0.15

we hit and bet big as a FD arrives and try to take it down directly.

River: ($0.54) T♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.35, BB raises to $1.05, Hero ?

good and bad card - we make a top set but the flush arrives as well. I bet and see what happens.
Villain goes for a raise, and I see this as a strong move (as well as I have in mind that our friend la55i always warns us of river raises ;))
Would you fold it?
Would you play differently, e.g. check/call or check/fold?


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6 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Haha :f_biggrin:
I would probably go ahead and call and then regret it and go tell everyone to fold a lot vs river raises.

I definitely think most of the time villain raises with a value hand and usually those are very strong. Our hand is strong too but is it strong enough. 33,44,66 are unlikely but sometimes it is possible villain slowplays stupidly OTF and is scared of the flush OTT. He also could have T6s. Better Tx hands are also possible, and those flushes..

All of the Tx hands are quite unlikely. I don't see many weaker value hands that would raise. So this either is flush or full house or then he has a total bluff which will in general happen less than 10% of the time.

About alternative lines, definitely not check fold imo. If we check, with how many weaker hands is he going to bet on that river? I think bet/fold is the best move, but my bet size would be smaller.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

River is a bet/fold here. We cannot call the strong river raise as there are possible better hands.


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

What about check/call on river?
There are a lot of draws that missed and could try a bluff:f_confused:


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What draws missed when you have possible straight, flush and FH?


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

All is true, there are a lot of made hands too..
I was thinking about a one card-flushdraw with ace or king and hands with a 5 as straightdraw.


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TurokRider
Joined: 21.10.2011

We hit trips, not a set. "Trips cost money, sets make money"

That said, I'm calling, but I like a check/call a lot better.


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