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KK - 3b pot, stack off here?

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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Postflop: Think I should bet bigger flop and look to stack off OTT here. Even vs AQ/QQ/77/33 I have 52% equity, if we start adding FD's into his x/shove range OTF then we're in even better shape

PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $2.00
SB: $2.00 (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
BB: $2.27 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
UTG: $2.12 (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 11)
MP: $2.32
CO: $1.05

SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has K♠ K♥

fold, MP raises to $0.06, fold, Hero raises to $0.18, fold, fold, MP calls $0.12

Flop: ($0.39, 2 players) 7♣ Q♠ 3♠
MP checks, Hero bets $0.20, MP calls $0.20

Turn: ($0.79, 2 players) 2♥
MP checks, Hero bets $0.45, MP calls $0.45

River: ($1.69, 2 players) J♠
MP checks, Hero checks

MP shows A♠ Q♣ (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 29%, Flop 24%, Turn 11%)
Hero shows K♠ K♥ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 71%, Flop 76%, Turn 89%)
Hero wins $1.63


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8 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

What check shove range?
Imo this looks well played.


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NineSevenSuited
Joined: 07.01.2008

Think I should bet bigger flop

yep, id make it arround 0,27 otherwise nh.


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

I

Originally posted by la55i
What check shove range?
Imo this looks well played.

If villain were to x/shove either flop or turn ( i.e if I bet bigger on either or both streets villain will be more inclined to do this) I think he would do this with TP+ and NFD's (worst case scenario: villain does this with TP+ - AQ, QQ/77/33) we still have 50% vs this .

Would you be more inclined to bet/fold and assume villain just does this with sets?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I like it as played.


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Pajod
Joined: 05.08.2008

Interesting spot on the river. I would proly valuebet on 9♠: or lower. J♠: improves his JQs and obv some flushes but we block some combs with K♠: .
I think we can get value from TPs if he's not nitty pre and calls suited bways. Small bet/f otr?


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Dre4mBl00d
Joined: 28.10.2016

:nh:


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rvnikauj
Joined: 03.02.2017

Originally posted by NineSevenSuited

Think I should bet bigger flop

yep, id make it arround 0,27 otherwise nh.

Indeed the pot odds villain is getting if he has a flush draw are excellent:
If Villain can obtain half the stack if flush completes in the turn and faces calling a half pot bet in the flop we are giving him 8:1 pot odds and flush is 47/9=5.1:1.
Example. Std 3bet pot: preflop pot is 25.5BB
Flop: hero bets 1/2 pot (12.75) and villains thinks he can get called a bet 1/2 of pot's OTT (25.5 of 51) so pot odds will be:
(25.5+12.75+12.75+25.5+25.5)/12.75=8:1
What would it be the best strategy to outdraw villain´s odds (assuming he's not shoving turn)?
Well I made a matrix out of this as a curiosity:
the left column is the bet you place at the flop and the upper row the bet you place at the turn. If we reverts each element we have another matrix with equity. (Minimum Equity to call breaking even=1/(pot odds)):


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

This is a 3b pot , villain is MP and he may not have that many FD combos...
The cbet size is ok.
All that said, I think that placing a small bet on river seems ok...


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