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KQ --> trips otr

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Sendrafreak
Joined: 31.05.2011

Villain: Semifish tendency 20/10, but only 10 hands (so more or less unknown)

SB: $8.72 (87.2 bb)
BB: $8.03 (80.3 bb)
UTG+1: $5.62 (56.2 bb)
UTG+2: $15.77 (157.7 bb)
MP1: $7.33 (73.3 bb)
MP2: $10.07 (100.7 bb)
Hero (MP3): $10 (100 bb)
CO: $9.18 (91.8 bb)
BTN: $11.71 (117.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q♥: K♣:
UTG+1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 3 folds, BB calls $0.40, UTG+1 folds, MP2 calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.65) Q♣: 8♦: 4♠: (3 players)
BB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.20, BB calls $1.20, MP2 calls $1.20

Turn: ($5.25) A♥: (3 players)
BB checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks

River: ($5.25) Q♠: (3 players)
BB checks, MP2 bets $2, Hero raises to $8.30 and is all-in, BB folds, MP2 calls $6.30

His riverstab looks like an A, although slowplay can't be excluded. Against Queens I'm ahead, so I thought shoving looks best. Too optimistic and just calling is better? What do you think?


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7 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

the question here is what's his limp behind range? this is probably thin against regfish who are weighted towards pocket pairs, but printing against actual fish (sometimes you'll still get stacked by Q8o, but that's just proof that the shove prints)


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GridironAssassin
Joined: 19.12.2014

Probably just playing river as a call. Feels weak but I think all boats are in play here, at least 6 combos of 88 and 44. AA seems like an unlikely holding but this is the micros. His base rate for bluffs is going to be quite low here I imagine. The only missed draws are gutters so what else is he raising river with? Ax? The turn check is weird with a flopped set, but it makes perfect sense to a passive fish, especially on the best turn possible for his flopped set. You will either a) bluff the ace (you fold Ax vs a bet) or b) hit the ace and value bet it.


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TurokRider
Joined: 21.10.2011

I'm thinking of worse hands that will call our shove and tbh, I can't see any. Maybe QJ, QT... AK maybe ?

I would just call and hope BB calls too, so we still have a decent pot if we win.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by lekeszmiller
than again the 5 cents looks suspisiocus so $4.60 should be better.

How you want to that with already a better in front of you on the river?


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

I call the river because I can't think of much that will call you. His betting range and his range beating you is wide, his calling range isn't. I think TurokRider is right.


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