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NL20 SH Speed AA, CO vs BTN

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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $33.90 (169.5 bb)
BB: $20.54 (102.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $20.18 (100.9 bb)
BTN: $42.64 (213.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A A
Hero raises to $0.50, BTN raises to $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.20, BTN calls $2.20

Flop: ($8.70) 2 Q J (2 players)
Hero bets $4.80, BTN calls $4.80

Turn: ($18.30) K (2 players)
Hero bets $11.18 and is all-in, BTN calls $11.18

River: ($40.66) Q (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Preflop: Standard open and a 4bet. Not sure what would be his range when he called, but I believe something like AK, AQ, JJ-88.. Sometimes he is slowplaying KK+ probably.

Flop: Cbetting for value and I was planning to cbet the turn, too. If he raise my cbet here, it would probably be close, but I believe that calling wouldn't be a mistake.

Turn: I don't like this turn card very much, but decided to cbet. Now I don't really see much worse hands calling, tbh. So, could we check/fold there?

BTN: 21/14/8,0/2,3/249 (VPIP/PFR/3B/AF/H)


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4 replies
MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011

As I said in your blog thread:

Originally posted by MJPerry
AA has 36% equity against AK, QJs, KQ, AT, KK, QQ, JJ. Less if we discount QJ, which we likely can.

If he's calling it off with AQ, we've close to 50%. Big "if", there.

It's just a really gross flop and turn. It feels awful to x/f there but it's probably best, though it obv depends on button.

If he ships flop what is our equity against AcKc, AcTc, QQ/JJ? Maybe throw a combo or two of AQ in there but that might be ambitious.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Villain's range is more: JJ+, AK vs which we have 43% on turn. There can be AQs (1 combo) too, which makes it 46% on turn.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

xf seems reasonable, i dont think you will see many bluffs with AQ here


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Kalecia
Joined: 28.08.2015

as I posted on your blog, why not to just bet pot on the flop and commit yourself ?


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