Hi community,
how would you play the river? I need ~33% equity to call here, do you think it is still profitable to call or would you fold nearly always here, due to possibe flush completion? Actually I checked again my own starting hand chart and realized I made a raise error, with my own SHC I would only start raising from MP with KQo. I read in my book at NL2$ the opponents nearly always play their hand and bluff rarely. Do you think they will bluff more often than 33%, to make this call profitable? I also keep in mind with my bed sizes, that I don't give good odds for flush draws to call here. Do you think the opponent played reasonable here? I mean flop isn't profitable for him at the turn he has a Flush draw and OESD, this gives him 9 outs + 6 outs. Turn call is profitable, but can we really expect that he has the Flush Draw and OESD here, I think no. What bet size would you use for flop and turn?
GG Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 78.5 BB (VPIP: 39.74, PFR: 34.62, 3Bet Preflop: 18.52, Hands: 81)
BB: 119 BB (VPIP: 21.52, PFR: 15.19, 3Bet Preflop: 2.86, Hands: 81)
UTG: 142 BB (VPIP: 34.62, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 81)
Hero (MP): 100 BB
CO: 25 BB
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.78, PFR: 16.46, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 79)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, CO posts penalty blind 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has J♥ K♦
fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 3.5 BB, fold
Flop: (10 BB, 2 players) 7♥ K♠ T♥
SB checks, Hero bets 8.5 BB, SB calls 8.5 BB
Turn: (27 BB, 2 players) 5♦
SB checks, Hero bets 13.5 BB, SB calls 13.5 BB
River: (54 BB, 2 players) 5♥
SB bets 52.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 52.5 BB
SB shows 6♥ 4♥ (Flush, Ten High)
(Pre 39%, Flop 32%, Turn 32%)
Hero shows J♥ K♦ (Two Pair, Kings and Fives)
(Pre 61%, Flop 68%, Turn 68%)
SB wins 150.5 BB
best regards,
Kingdollar
