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Not sure about this set

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sdf256
Joined: 21.07.2016

$0.01/$0.02 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
UTG hamer777 ($2) 100bb
CO zAkuto9 ($2.24) 112bb
BTN QstoP ($2.34) 117bb
SB homyak2 ($1.49) 75bb
BB Hero ($2.15) 108bb
Pre-Flop: (0.03, 5 players) Hero is BB T♦: T♣:

1 fold, zAkuto9 raises to $0.05, 1 fold, homyak2 calls $0.04, Hero calls $0.03

Flop: A♦: T♠: Q♦: ($0.15, 3 players)
homyak2 checks, Hero checks, zAkuto9 bets $0.11, homyak2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, zAkuto9 raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.40

Idk can I go all in here and get called with something worse? Maybe with AK, AQ, FD, Straight Draw?
Turn: 4♣: ($1.55, 2)
Hero checks, zAkuto9 bets $1.11, Hero folds

He bets again and now I think we are behind so I fold. What are your thoughts guys?

Final Pot: $2.66
zAkuto9 wins $2.61 (net +$0.75)
homyak2 lost $0.05
Hero lost $0.75


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2 replies
lfcmichael
Joined: 30.10.2016

If I were villain and had a draw, I think I would x/b OTT, so his bet more likely indicates a made hand (in my opinion; maybe others disagree).

We had bottom set OTF, so we’re behind even other sets (six combos), and then we’re almost dead. He definitely has AA and QQ in his range.

KJ is certainly a possible hand (16 combos). Against that, we have 10 outs, so we have equity of 21.7% against a straight, and we need 29.4% to call. We can get this via implied odds if he’ll still put in money when the river pairs the board.

I haven’t run the EV calculations of possible sets vs possible straights, but I instinctively want to fold this.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think we should make the decision OTF and the decision is push or fold to me. Villain has already indicated strength by 3betting the flop. I can agree that this is a super strong move. If we want to give up we should do it now. After we call OTF I think we are quite committed to seeing this through if the turn blanks like this.


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