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QJs ~ River bluff?

6 Posts
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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

partypoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 116.2 BB
SB: 114.6 BB (VPIP: 19.69, PFR: 15.75, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 129)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.99, PFR: 11.63, 3Bet Preflop: 1.96, Hands: 269)
UTG: 102.8 BB (VPIP: 13.79, PFR: 13.10, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 150)
MP: 430.6 BB (VPIP: 21.86, PFR: 17.80, 3Bet Preflop: 6.38, Hands: 604)
CO: 150.6 BB (VPIP: 19.42, PFR: 14.56, 3Bet Preflop: 11.63, Hands: 105)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♦ J♦

fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, SB raises to 7.6 BB, fold, CO calls 5.6 BB, Hero calls 5.6 BB

Flop: (23.8 BB, 3 players) 3♦ T♣ 9♠
SB bets 14.2 BB, fold, Hero calls 14.2 BB

Turn: (52.2 BB, 2 players) 6♥
SB checks, Hero bets 18 BB, SB calls 18 BB

River: (88.2 BB, 2 players) 9♥
SB checks, Hero checks

SB shows K♣ T♥ (Two Pair, Tens and Nines)
(Pre 56%, Flop 50%, Turn 70%)
Hero mucks Q♦ J♦ (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 44%, Flop 50%, Turn 30%)
SB wins 83.8 BB

We have JQ hi. I actually ran out of time before i could making a decision. My thoughts we're if i bet all in here, what will i get to fold. I think i could of folding some of his 10x out but perhaps not overpairs. But when he checks, what overpairs does he actually have.

River shove?


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5 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i might just take a free card here. he cbets a somewhat low fold equity board oop into 2 people, if he has some AK type hand we can try betting the river


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Fanko
Joined: 24.08.2010

Either make a big bet on the turn or do not bet at all. As played, after making such a bet on the turn, your only option is an AI on the river to generate maximum fold equity. He seems to be on the tight side of players and will fold all Tx and probably some overpairs as well.


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CucumbaMan
Joined: 13.10.2017

I think I'd just check this turn, because the 6 does not change anything, so if he calls, he almost certainly has us beat.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Villain cbets multiway so I would put him on a bit stronger range (they usually are more honest mw). I would probably just check the turn. You are in position and get to realize your equity better. That is why you need more fold equity when you are smibluffing in position. This play might not be losing on the long run but the EV of checking can still be higher.


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derkraemer
Joined: 27.08.2007

Why a bet on the turn that isnt even half the pot ? I think You should have checked to get a free card or You should have scared him by betting potsize on the turn to pretend your hand is strong.... Considdering You paid 5 BB preflop he basically must only be scared about You holding A 10 or a pocket pair because I hope You didnt give him a reason to believe You would enter a raised pot with 2 opponents holding 3 6 or 6 9 ... So your chance to get him to fold the hand was on the turn IMO...


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