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Riverdecision AK

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Sendrafreak
Joined: 31.05.2011

Opponent: 93/9/14.3 after 11 hands

SB: $4.96 (248 bb)
BB: $2.61 (130.5 bb)
UTG: $0.78 (39 bb)
Hero (MP): $2.94 (147 bb)
CO: $2.25 (112.5 bb)
BTN: $1.62 (81 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A♠: K♥:
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.06, CO folds, BTN calls $0.06, SB folds, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.19) K♠: Q♠: 9♣: (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.18, BTN calls $0.18, BB folds

Turn: ($0.55) 6♣: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.48, BTN calls $0.48

River: ($1.51) J♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.22, BTN calls $0.90 and is all-in

Otf&t I bet high 4 protection against all kind of draws, otr then the decision: I still see many Kx type of hands (also with an additional FD otf and ott) that could call, but of course he also has a T in his range and now many 2pairs. But really c/f? I think that is too weak, but maybe I am wrong because the ugliest river card in the world deteriorates my equity considerably. Opinions?


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2 replies

The shove on the river seems optimistic villain can have tons of TX and 2 pair by the river being a fish it's just a horrible run out and for me it's a check fold.


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Dandiiik
Joined: 19.07.2009

One of the worst possible cards OTR. If only it would at least be J♠: which would complete the flush as well so a check fold would be easier. I would suggest small block bet but his stack is too small for that. I guess you could go for $0,3 bet/fold.

On the other hand he is a huge fish probably and we can safely assume that he is never gonna let go of any king and he has all the kings in his range. That would mean there are K8, K7, K5, K4, K3 and K2 which you beat. I would put it in Equilab adding the hands that beat you like 2 pair, AT, JT. You can play with his range and see how narrow his range has to be in order for you to profitably shove. Maybe it will show you that against his range it is actually better to check/fold.

Anyway I like your sizing on previous streets.


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