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thin river value?

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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2931608
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $6.42
SB: $9.60
BB: $10.00
UTG: $6.48
MP: $10.00
Hero (CO): $10.00

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with A :heart: K :spade:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.70) 4 :heart: 2 :diamond: A :spade: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.35, SB calls $0.35

Turn: ($1.40) 8 :heart: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.90, SB calls $0.90

River: ($3.20) 7 :club: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.23, SB calls $2.23

His range consists of alot Ax hands. I wanted to get max value, he showed up with A2. Im pretty sure my small bets on flop and turn get enough calls of weaker pairs and the big river bet looks suspicious enough to get called of weak Aces. Any opinions?


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7 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You can make turn and river even smaller.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i'd say the opposite
this non-fullstack player is calling you down with AQ AJ AT and maybe even worse all day


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chriskwns
Joined: 07.10.2012

The question is what his calling range / 3bet range SB vs CO might be ? Is he 3betting hands like AJo+, ATs+ ? He's not 100bb thus we can assume he's a weaker/recreational player so we probably can expect him to call some of the stronger Ax. Bottom line I would bet this river rather 1/2 but since he might be a weaker player calling here every Ax, bigger bet seems fine.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think vs unknown this is just fine.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Against a player that is most likelly a fish (considering his stack size) I would play bet/bet/bet with the size of ~70%. He would pay us off with alot of worse top pairs and maybe even worse hands.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Vs SS calling you off this way on this board we can try to commit ourselves with such a strong hand so these bets are definitely fine IMO.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by nsavov
...
Im pretty sure my small bets on flop and turn get enough calls of weaker pairs and the big river bet looks suspicious enough to get called of weak Aces. Any opinions?

Yes. Bet flop big, turn smaller and river smallest (if at all). In other words, exactly the opposite. He might even call flop with as little as a gut shot because of implied odds. Implied odds drop street by street. This is why you typically should bet a smaller percentage on later streets than early ones.

Playing what you think is "deceptively" with TPTK through bet sizing will fool only yourself.


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