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correct fold turn?

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pizdunar
Joined: 01.08.2014

Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 37.75 BB
MP: 126.75 BB
CO: 94.5 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 127.25 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4♣ 4♠ 7♦ 7♣

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, CO calls 1 BB, BTN calls 1 BB, SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero checks

Flop: (5 BB, 5 players) 3♥ 7♠ A♠
SB checks, Hero bets 3.5 BB, UTG calls 3.5 BB, CO calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold

Turn: (15.5 BB, 3 players) K♣
Hero bets 11 BB, UTG calls 11 BB, CO raises to 58.75 BB, fold, fold

He migth have AK but also slowplayed AA or possibly KK sometimes since they call a lot. I think in this spot call should be better anyways, too much of a nit a presume?


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3 replies
FlyingDutchm1n
Joined: 21.08.2012

Depends on stat/reads but I think most of the time here your fold is correct. You will see some set of 3s that do this for sure, that called flop to get it on any safe turn. If he has any kind of opening range here on the CO, it is more likely he has 33 (if you think he would open AA or KK in position). From my own personal experience though, I am behind in these spots the vast majority of the time. KK is indeed possible if you think someone maybe called flop with KK and the flushdraw and have seen that happen in the past. GL


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

I couldn't fold unless there is some hard evidence from hud/notes. He limps from CO, which reduces a lot of AA/KK hands from this range. On the flop he calls, which reduces AA a lot. If he has Aces, the pot is a bit small and there are three different draws on the flop. Most of the time he would raise it imo. If he has KK, he needs to have a flush draw with it, otherwise his flop call is strange.

So unless he doesn't raise anything preflop, the only hand he could have there that beats you is KKss, which sounds a lot like raise from CO. Looks like oveplayed AK/33 to me.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

I agree. Limping range will have way less AA/KK. I sigh call and note.


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