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The big 22$ - AQs

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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

PFR is reg with stats 12/8/cbet flop-57(7) for 289 hands.
UTG+2 is a LAG fish - 46/24/14.3-3bet/AF-5.6/ agr freq flop-50(30) for 79 hands.
MP1 - 31/15/3b-6.6/AF-1.4 for 166 hands.

My plan was to lead this flop and play for all stack, if UTG+2 raise(i think he can play aggressive draws or KQ, sometimes QT...). Vs raise from PFR, I would fold. Vs MP1... I am not sure, maybe I should fold. He isn`t very agressive and can only call with draws or KQ.

What do you think? Is this lead good?
An alternative is to check/fold vs PFR;
check/raise UTG+2;
and vs MP1, I am not sure again :)

Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 1939547
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP1: t2840 56.80 BBs
MP2: t1882 37.64 BBs
CO: t600 12 BBs
BTN: t2469 49.38 BBs
SB: t3310 66.20 BBs
Hero (BB): t6570 131.40 BBs
UTG: t2730 54.60 BBs
UTG+1: t3095 61.90 BBs
UTG+2: t2535 50.70 BBs

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is BB with A :heart: Q :heart:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t125, UTG+2 calls t125, MP1 calls t125, 4 folds, Hero calls t75

Flop: (t525) J :club: Q :spade: 7 :spade: (4 players)
Hero bets t290, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to t650, MP1 folds, Hero raises to t6445 all in, UTG+2 calls t1760 all in

Turn: (t5345) 9 :heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t5345) 2 :spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)


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6 replies
chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Check/folding seems too tight as I think even nitty regs (maybe ESPECIALLY nitty regs), bet here w/ all of their KQ and even some of their AJ combinations. Leading's real good anyway against these player types, nice work thinking on the spot.

Preflop's quite close, if the reg was just a bit looser I would prefer 3betting preflop to get value from the fish. Here though vs this guy I think calling's just slightly better.


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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

If PFR cbets: JJ+,77,AQs,KQs,QJs,AsKs,AsJs,AsTs,AQo,KQo, I have only 38.3% and if he bets again on turn it will be very hard to continue.
If I call, what should be my plan for next streets? (if the other two guys fold)


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

I think call turn fold river and fold turn both are legitimate options. I imagine villain probably pot controls KQ on the turn a lot so it's definitely fine. 38.3% is enough to continue!


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TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

imo best here with those stack sizes is to check and see what hapens on flop/ call evaluate turn vs one player/shove if someone bet and there are just calls behind/ fold if someone bets and someone raise


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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

Vs agro player 38% equity on the flop out of position, very often won`t be enough. Because very often I can`t realize this equity. It will be enough if the hand ends on the flop.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by PaPi92
Vs agro player 38% equity on the flop out of position, very often won`t be enough. Because very often I can`t realize this equity. It will be enough if the hand ends on the flop.

Not quite, because our equity against his range improves dramatically on a blank turn IMO, and I think if we underrep our hand we can get him to barrel off a lot of times on blank cards or ace turns etc.


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