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NL5 - AJo - SB vs BU - flop broke?! - [01.28]

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DavidDorky
Joined: 18.07.2008

$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($7.23) 145bb
CO ($3.63) 73bb
BTN ($4.06) 81bb
DavidDorky (SB) ($12.50) 250bb
BB ($11.61) 232bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 5 players) DavidDorky is SB J♦ A♥
2 folds, BTN calls $0.05, DavidDorky raises to $0.25, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.20

Flop: A♦ 3♥ K♥ ($0.55, 2 players)
DavidDorky bets $0.40, BTN raises to $1.75, DavidDorky raises to $3.10, BTN goes all-in $3.81, DavidDorky calls $0.71
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Villain: unknown (8 hands), 1-tabler recreational player.

Easy flop broke or not?

And why?

Ty for the answers! :)


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2 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

With around 60bb or less this is a pretty easy broke spot here.
With 80-100bb it gets tougher. Let's analyze a few things here

1) Board: It's really hard for him to rep much. Assuming he raises AK/AQ/AA/KK preflop, I think we can consider AJ good here. Also, we have Ace of heart, which blocks off AhXh type of hands which are flipping against us.

2) Opponent: We only know he's a limper. This basically makes him likelier to be passive. I'm also not sure how often he slowplays (underplays) his strong hands like AK/AA. Given that he did not limp/reraise, it's safe to assume he doesnt have AA/KK/AK about 90% of the time. Maybe he may have AQ?

He only reps 33/A3 here IMO, and if he does it with draws (large sizing may mean that he's likelier to be on a draw perhaps?) and some worse AX then it's an easy all-in here.

Considering all things, I think point 1 outweighs point 2, so I prefer going all-in.

Thanks.


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DavidDorky
Joined: 18.07.2008

Really nice and clear analisys!

Thank you very much! :)


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