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Flush vs fish 86s , nl200

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eszibit
Joined: 10.12.2007

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $200 (100 bb)
CO: $230 (115 bb)
Hero (BTN): $200 (100 bb)
SB: $414.68 (207.3 bb)
BB: $228.88 (114.4 bb)
UTG: $240.74 (120.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $6, CO folds, Hero calls $6, SB folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($19) T J 2 (3 players)
BB checks, MP bets $10, Hero calls $10, BB raises to $36, MP folds, Hero calls $26

Turn: ($101) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $52, Hero calls $52

River: ($205) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $134.88 and is all-in, Hero calls $106 and is all-in

Results:

Spoiler

$417 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: T J 2 4 3
Hero showed 6 8 and won $414 ($214 net)
BB showed K J and won $0.00 (-$200 net)

Fish 38/26 with 50% xr flop , 6 out of 12 ,in 200 hands dont think agg factor is that important but he has like 22.0 on the river.

I think he can bluff a lot of rivers but the ugliest one came...should i change my plan?


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

This spot is kind of tricky without info. For example if we knew he was also semi-bluffing a good amount on the Flop, I would consider just folding right away cos I don't really want to pay so much for some baby flush draw when we may get dominated by Ace King Queen Jack high flush draws.

On the Turn if we felt that he was mostly having sets and JT here, then we might just want to jam here (assuming he never folds those hands)

If he's stupidly aggro then I suppose calling down makes more sense.

With the reads you provided, I suppose with 25% pot odds you should probably call and hope he misplays his non-flush made hands.

Thanks.


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