Overpair facing leads

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Last Post by mbml 13 years ago

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maheepsangari

Joined: 08.06.2010

Posts: 1,944

02.03.2013, 16:15 0

Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $21.96 (109.8 bb)
MP: $41.37 (206.8 bb)
CO: $19 (95 bb)
Hero (BTN): $20 (100 bb)
SB: $21.67 (108.4 bb)
BB: $25.74 (128.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, SB calls $0.50, BB calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.80) 3 2 9 (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60, SB folds

Turn: ($5) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $3.05, Hero calls $3.05

River: ($11.10) T (2 players)
BB bets $20.49 and is all-in, Hero folds

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1 reply

mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

02.03.2013, 17:10 0

Hi.

Any reads on your opponent? If not we should think about game theory optimal ranges

On the river, we have to call 14.80 more in a pot containing 11.10.
Pot odds offered = 36.4%

Opponent is risking 14.8 to win 11.1. His bluff needs to work 57.1%. We need to call with the top 42.9% of our range.

I think KK probably falls into this category so I'll call here if I wanted to play GTO.

From an exploitive stand point, I think he just has way too many sets here IMO so we can consider folding. Maybe even A5s is in his range. But without any info it's perfectly fine to play GTO and call down. For all we know he's some random spazzer.

Thanks.

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